Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 55%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.1K

Combined PnL

$400.83

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down6 traders

Total Value$2.5K

Total Shares2,507

Combined PnL+$560.45

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares326

Combined PnL-$159.62

Down — 55%Up — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$24.96	93% 23323-1765 (25088)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 33.3¢	$415.41	$625	+$209.59	64% 58239-32920 (91159)
TR trdyugiolkwARB<$100	Downavg 56.3¢	$405.58	$403.76	-$1.82	57% 10302-7735 (18037)
└ Down leg	Downavg 56.3¢	$227.23	$403.76	+$176.53
└ Up leg	Upavg 23.3¢	$178.35	—	-$178.35
AS aswfadq1555	Downavg 33.9¢	$153.21	$451.68	+$298.47	54% 15313-13203 (28516)
WZ wzbbbARB<$100	Upavg 28.5¢	$193.22	$170.43	-$22.79	57% 7817-5997 (13814)
└ Down leg	Downavg 47.5¢	$80.95	$170.43	+$89.48
└ Up leg	Upavg 28.5¢	$112.27	—	-$112.27
PE peepeepoopoo24	Downavg 66.2¢	$111.94	$125.51	+$13.57	57% 6681-4952 (11633)
LI Little-bigCTR<$100	Upavg 50.9¢	$75.43	—	-$75.43	34% 18763-35765 (54528)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 24.4¢	$22.66	—	-$22.66	51% 20036-19191 (39227)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 59.4¢	$40.78	$41.38	+$0.6	66% 125488-64588 (190076)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 48.8¢	$34.54	—	-$34.54	61% 94766-59706 (154472)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$13.79	—	-$13.79	52% 90179-84671 (174850)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 47¢	$11.76	$25.02	+$13.26	56% 57982-44777 (102759)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 66¢	$13.2	—	-$13.2	64% 22980-12672 (35652)