Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 94% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Up 93%
$2.0K
$129.76
Smart Money Signal
15 of 16 top traders (94%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 55¢ | $406.12 | $461.54 | +$55.42 | 57% 7798-5980 (13778) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9¢ | $402.5 | $407 | +$4.5 | 93% 23285-1761 (25046) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 77.7¢ | $381.17 | $375.46 | -$5.71 | 57% 10301-7732 (18033) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 84¢ | $243.3 | $184.07 | -$44.98 | 64% 58208-32895 (91103) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 52.5¢ | $105.07 | $200.11 | +$95.04 | 34% 18750-35751 (54501) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 65.5¢ | $110.25 | $96 | -$14.25 | 54% 15307-13198 (28505) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 74.9¢ | $68.74 | $70 | +$1.26 | 57% 6680-4948 (11628) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95.3¢ | $55.96 | $55 | -$0.96 | 61% 94725-59677 (154402) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 54.7¢ | $40.5 | $74.07 | +$33.57 | 58% 12626-9308 (21934) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $40.24 | $37 | -$3.24 | 52% 90141-84640 (174781) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 97.5¢ | $27.7 | $28.42 | +$0.72 | 63% 51801-30522 (82323) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $16.58 | $21.26 | +$4.68 | 58% 60468-44149 (104617) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 65% 124927-66830 (191757) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $4 | $10 | +$6 | 55% 44783-37243 (82026) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 56¢ | $2.06 | $3.68 | +$1.62 | 64% 22926-12644 (35570) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20024-19184 (39208) |
Invested
$406.12
Value
$461.54
PnL
+$55.42
Record
57%
7798-5980 (13778)
Invested
$402.5
Value
$407
PnL
+$4.5
Record
93%
23285-1761 (25046)
Invested
$381.17
Value
$375.46
PnL
-$5.71
Record
57%
10301-7732 (18033)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$243.3
Value
$184.07
PnL
-$44.98
Record
64%
58208-32895 (91103)
Invested
$105.07
Value
$200.11
PnL
+$95.04
Record
34%
18750-35751 (54501)
Invested
$110.25
Value
$96
PnL
-$14.25
Record
54%
15307-13198 (28505)
Invested
$68.74
Value
$70
PnL
+$1.26
Record
57%
6680-4948 (11628)
Invested
$55.96
Value
$55
PnL
-$0.96
Record
61%
94725-59677 (154402)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$40.5
Value
$74.07
PnL
+$33.57
Record
58%
12626-9308 (21934)
Invested
$40.24
Value
$37
PnL
-$3.24
Record
52%
90141-84640 (174781)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$27.7
Value
$28.42
PnL
+$0.72
Record
63%
51801-30522 (82323)
Invested
$16.58
Value
$21.26
PnL
+$4.68
Record
58%
60468-44149 (104617)
Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
65%
124927-66830 (191757)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4
Value
$10
PnL
+$6
Record
55%
44783-37243 (82026)
Invested
$2.06
Value
$3.68
PnL
+$1.62
Record
64%
22926-12644 (35570)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20024-19184 (39208)
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