Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 53%
$2.5K
-$347.96
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.4¢ | $1.5K | $1.6K | +$24.48 | 93% 23285-1761 (25046) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 73.9¢ | $327.78 | $356.14 | +$28.36 | 57% 10301-7732 (18033) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 71.6¢ | $285.16 | $276.1 | +$30.59 | 64% 58208-32895 (91103) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Upavg 32.1¢ | $300.5 | — | -$300.5 | 57% 7798-5980 (13778) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 57.3¢ | $106.78 | $176.71 | +$69.93 | 54% 15307-13198 (28505) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.3¢ | $98.6 | — | -$98.6 | 34% 18750-35751 (54501) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $58.06 | $55 | -$3.06 | 52% 90141-84640 (174781) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.5¢ | $36 | — | -$36 | 58% 12626-9308 (21934) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 63.5¢ | $37.52 | $31.78 | -$5.74 | 57% 6680-4948 (11628) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.9¢ | $30.49 | — | -$30.49 | 51% 20024-19184 (39208) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $22.06 | — | -$22.06 | 46% 7787-9202 (16989) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94.2¢ | $13.53 | $14.37 | +$0.84 | 63% 51801-30522 (82323) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $13.58 | $14.29 | +$0.71 | 61% 94725-59677 (154402) |
TH thismonthCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 34% 589-1143 (1732) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.5¢ | $3.77 | — | -$3.77 | 55% 44783-37243 (82026) |
Invested
$1,549.52
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$24.48
Record
93%
23285-1761 (25046)
Invested
$327.78
Value
$356.14
PnL
+$28.36
Record
57%
10301-7732 (18033)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$285.16
Value
$276.1
PnL
+$30.59
Record
64%
58208-32895 (91103)
Invested
$300.5
Value
—
PnL
-$300.5
Record
57%
7798-5980 (13778)
Invested
$106.78
Value
$176.71
PnL
+$69.93
Record
54%
15307-13198 (28505)
Invested
$98.6
Value
—
PnL
-$98.6
Record
34%
18750-35751 (54501)
Invested
$58.06
Value
$55
PnL
-$3.06
Record
52%
90141-84640 (174781)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$36
Value
—
PnL
-$36
Record
58%
12626-9308 (21934)
Invested
$37.52
Value
$31.78
PnL
-$5.74
Record
57%
6680-4948 (11628)
Invested
$30.49
Value
—
PnL
-$30.49
Record
51%
20024-19184 (39208)
Invested
$22.06
Value
—
PnL
-$22.06
Record
46%
7787-9202 (16989)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.53
Value
$14.37
PnL
+$0.84
Record
63%
51801-30522 (82323)
Invested
$13.58
Value
$14.29
PnL
+$0.71
Record
61%
94725-59677 (154402)
Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
34%
589-1143 (1732)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.77
Value
—
PnL
-$3.77
Record
55%
44783-37243 (82026)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.6K
trdyugiolkw
Down — $356.14
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $276.1
wzbbb
CTRUp — $0
aswfadq1555
Down — $176.71
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
Down — $55
wowitsamazing
CTRUp — $0
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $31.78
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0