Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 94% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Up 94%
$4.1K
$113.97
Smart Money Signal
16 of 17 top traders (94%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 88.4Β’ | $1.6K | $1.4K | -$143.16 | 64% 58184-32863 (91047) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8Β’ | $830.01 | $840.01 | +$10 | 93% 23242-1759 (25001) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 80.2Β’ | $475.24 | $450.65 | -$24.59 | 57% 10301-7732 (18033) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 69.2Β’ | $250.18 | $283.75 | +$33.57 | 57% 7784-5961 (13745) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 86.6Β’ | $318.41 | $224.34 | -$94.07 | 54% 15296-13193 (28489) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5 | Upavg 47Β’ | $94 | $200 | +$106 | β |
LI Little-big | Upavg 52.2Β’ | $102.84 | $197.07 | +$94.23 | 34% 18742-35744 (54486) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 46Β’ | $84.64 | $184 | +$99.36 | 58% 37772-27004 (64776) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 73.7Β’ | $43.53 | $50.36 | +$6.83 | 57% 6672-4946 (11618) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 93Β’ | $52.27 | $49.4 | -$2.87 | 52% 90119-84595 (174714) |
![]() wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 57Β’ | $41.25 | $72.37 | +$31.12 | 58% 12615-9290 (21905) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 91.3Β’ | $41.93 | $40.62 | -$1.31 | 61% 94696-59644 (154340) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 95Β’ | $23.92 | $25.18 | +$1.26 | 56% 57941-44749 (102690) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 93.3Β’ | $25.38 | $17.2 | +$1.8 | 64% 22856-12613 (35469) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 47Β’ | $4.7 | $10.01 | +$5.31 | 58% 50956-37091 (88047) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR | Downavg 25Β’ | $108.5 | β | -$9.5 | 65% 124925-66828 (191753) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20005-19176 (39181) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,647.7
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$143.16
Record
64%
58184-32863 (91047)
Invested
$830.01
Value
$840.01
PnL
+$10
Record
93%
23242-1759 (25001)
Invested
$475.24
Value
$450.65
PnL
-$24.59
Record
57%
10301-7732 (18033)
Invested
$250.18
Value
$283.75
PnL
+$33.57
Record
57%
7784-5961 (13745)
Invested
$318.41
Value
$224.34
PnL
-$94.07
Record
54%
15296-13193 (28489)
Invested
$94
Value
$200
PnL
+$106
Record
β
Invested
$102.84
Value
$197.07
PnL
+$94.23
Record
34%
18742-35744 (54486)
Invested
$84.64
Value
$184
PnL
+$99.36
Record
58%
37772-27004 (64776)
Invested
$43.53
Value
$50.36
PnL
+$6.83
Record
57%
6672-4946 (11618)
Invested
$52.27
Value
$49.4
PnL
-$2.87
Record
52%
90119-84595 (174714)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$41.25
Value
$72.37
PnL
+$31.12
Record
58%
12615-9290 (21905)
Invested
$41.93
Value
$40.62
PnL
-$1.31
Record
61%
94696-59644 (154340)
Invested
$23.92
Value
$25.18
PnL
+$1.26
Record
56%
57941-44749 (102690)
Invested
$25.38
Value
$17.2
PnL
+$1.8
Record
64%
22856-12613 (35469)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$10.01
PnL
+$5.31
Record
58%
50956-37091 (88047)
Invested
$108.5
Value
β
PnL
-$9.5
Record
65%
124925-66828 (191753)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20005-19176 (39181)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

Polkadot-Frog
Up β $1.4K
hoodquant
Up β $840.01
trdyugiolkw
Up β $450.65
wzbbb
Up β $283.75
aswfadq1555
Up β $224.34
0x0d2d...7ff5
Up β $200
Little-big
Up β $197.07
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $184
peepeepoopoo24
Up β $50.36
dvasdkasodk
Up β $49.4