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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

15

Up 79%

Total Value

$4.3K

Combined PnL

-$46.4

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 15 top traders (80%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up12 traders

Total Value$4.3K

Total Shares4,274

Combined PnL+$296.28

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares743

Combined PnL-$342.68

Up — 80%Down — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AS aswfadq1555	Upavg 72.7¢	$1.2K	$1.4K	+$154.61	54% 15296-13193 (28489)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 92.5¢	$1.3K	$1.1K	+$1.58	64% 58184-32863 (91047)
TR trdyugiolkw	Upavg 88.3¢	$552.49	$529.93	-$22.56	57% 10301-7732 (18033)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 60.7¢	$418.75	$451.8	+$33.05	57% 7784-5961 (13745)
TH thesidehustle	Upavg 83.5¢	$415.01	$414.15	-$0.86	54% 10800-9239 (20039)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Downavg 48.2¢	$311.23	—	-$311.23	58% 37772-27004 (64776)
LI Little-big	Upavg 51¢	$108.1	$212	+$103.9	34% 18742-35744 (54486)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819	Upavg 83¢	$83	$100	+$17	47% 430-484 (914)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 88.4¢	$53.62	$54.66	+$1.04	61% 94696-59644 (154340)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 89.7¢	$41.16	$42.57	+$1.42	52% 90119-84595 (174714)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 29.4¢	$21.15	—	-$21.15	55% 44748-37210 (81958)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$10.3	—	-$10.3	58% 60444-44134 (104578)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 98¢	$11.6	$10	-$1.6	65% 124925-66828 (191753)
GO GoodRecipient<$100	Upavg 56.5¢	$11.3	$20	+$8.7	44% 610-791 (1401)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 20005-19176 (39181)

Invested

$1,200.68

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$154.61

Record

54%

15296-13193 (28489)

Invested

$1,265.74

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$1.58

Record

64%

58184-32863 (91047)

Invested

$552.49

Value

$529.93

PnL

-$22.56

Record

57%

10301-7732 (18033)

Invested

$418.75

Value

$451.8

PnL

+$33.05

Record

57%

7784-5961 (13745)

Invested

$415.01

Value

$414.15

PnL

-$0.86

Record

54%

10800-9239 (20039)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$311.23

Value

—

PnL

-$311.23

Record

58%

37772-27004 (64776)

Invested

$108.1

Value

$212

PnL

+$103.9

Record

34%

18742-35744 (54486)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Invested

$83

Value

$100

PnL

+$17

Record

47%

430-484 (914)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$53.62

Value

$54.66

PnL

+$1.04

Record

61%

94696-59644 (154340)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$41.16

Value

$42.57

PnL

+$1.42

Record

52%

90119-84595 (174714)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$21.15

Value

—

PnL

-$21.15

Record

55%

44748-37210 (81958)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$10.3

Value

—

PnL

-$10.3

Record

58%

60444-44134 (104578)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$11.6

Value

$10

PnL

-$1.6

Record

65%

124925-66828 (191753)

GoodRecipient<$100

Invested

$11.3

Value

$20

PnL

+$8.7

Record

44%

610-791 (1401)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

20005-19176 (39181)

Smart Money Signal

Up

12 of 15 top traders (80%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x9753144e...b41a88

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1793331000

Traders in this Market

aswfadq1555

Up — $1.4K

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $1.1K

trdyugiolkw

Up — $529.93

wzbbb

Up — $451.8

thesidehustle

Up — $414.15

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

Little-big

Up — $212

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Up — $100

asidjasiodja

Up — $54.66

dvasdkasodk

Up — $42.57

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