Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 91%
$2.8K
$149.97
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9Β’ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$18.6 | 93% 23201-1758 (24959) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 84.5Β’ | $492.42 | $502.23 | +$36.27 | 64% 58160-32830 (90990) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 72.6Β’ | $287.38 | $258.9 | -$28.48 | 57% 7773-5955 (13728) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 52.5Β’ | $115.53 | $219.98 | +$104.45 | 58% 37751-26971 (64722) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 90.7Β’ | $48.59 | $53.58 | +$4.99 | 63% 51732-30464 (82196) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $48.34 | $60.43 | +$12.09 | 73% 95019-35649 (130668) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73.3Β’ | $32.33 | $21.15 | +$11.62 | 64% 22780-12562 (35342) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 84Β’ | $18.39 | $21.9 | +$3.51 | 61% 94646-59611 (154257) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 91.4Β’ | $15.81 | $17.3 | +$1.49 | 52% 90065-84555 (174620) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.5Β’ | $17.22 | β | -$17.22 | 51% 19993-19160 (39153) |
BE beeemw<$100 | Downavg 79Β’ | $10 | $12.66 | +$2.66 | 77% 303-88 (391) |
Invested
$1,606.39
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$18.6
Record
93%
23201-1758 (24959)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$492.42
Value
$502.23
PnL
+$36.27
Record
64%
58160-32830 (90990)
Invested
$287.38
Value
$258.9
PnL
-$28.48
Record
57%
7773-5955 (13728)
Invested
$115.53
Value
$219.98
PnL
+$104.45
Record
58%
37751-26971 (64722)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$48.59
Value
$53.58
PnL
+$4.99
Record
63%
51732-30464 (82196)
Invested
$48.34
Value
$60.43
PnL
+$12.09
Record
73%
95019-35649 (130668)
Invested
$32.33
Value
$21.15
PnL
+$11.62
Record
64%
22780-12562 (35342)
Invested
$18.39
Value
$21.9
PnL
+$3.51
Record
61%
94646-59611 (154257)
Invested
$15.81
Value
$17.3
PnL
+$1.49
Record
52%
90065-84555 (174620)
Invested
$17.22
Value
β
PnL
-$17.22
Record
51%
19993-19160 (39153)
Invested
$10
Value
$12.66
PnL
+$2.66
Record
77%
303-88 (391)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $1.6K

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $502.23
wzbbb
Down β $258.9
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $219.98

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $53.58
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Down β $60.43
aaa221
Down β $21.15
asidjasiodja
Down β $21.9
dvasdkasodk
Down β $17.3
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0