Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 32% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 25%
2 arb excluded
$7.6K
-$484.02
Smart Money Signal
7 of 22 top traders (32%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed15 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $3.5K | $3.5K | +$3.5 | 59% 62165-43330 (105495) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Upavg 45.6¢ | $2.2K | $2.4K | +$223.85 | 54% 15292-13183 (28475) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45.6¢ | $1.1K | $2.4K | +$1.3K | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 52.5¢ | $1.1K | — | $-1.1K | |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 43.7¢ | $750.56 | $907.15 | +$156.59 | 64% 58160-32830 (90990) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $431.64 | $436 | +$4.36 | 93% 23201-1758 (24959) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Downavg 35.9¢ | $353.73 | — | -$353.73 | 57% 7773-5955 (13728) |
TH thismonth | Upavg 37.1¢ | $113.76 | $148.76 | +$145.32 | 34% 587-1138 (1725) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR | Downavg 47.8¢ | $115.51 | — | -$115.51 | — |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR | Downavg 41.9¢ | $100.78 | — | -$100.78 | 57% 6667-4941 (11608) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $115.05 | $154.84 | +$39.8 | 58% 37751-26971 (64722) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $77.42 | $154.84 | +$77.42 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $37.63 | — | -$37.63 | |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $65.89 | — | -$65.89 | 64% 39977-22851 (62828) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $48.01 | $53.5 | +$9.55 | 64% 22780-12562 (35342) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $38.25 | — | -$38.25 | 58% 12603-9272 (21875) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 53.6¢ | $33.77 | — | -$33.77 | 34% 18735-35730 (54465) |
GO GoodRecipientCTR<$100 | Downavg 59.5¢ | $23.8 | — | -$23.8 | 44% 608-789 (1397) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 59.6¢ | $23.32 | — | -$23.32 | 61% 94646-59611 (154257) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $18.94 | — | -$18.94 | 58% 50945-37076 (88021) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 69.7¢ | $22.26 | — | -$22.26 | 52% 90065-84555 (174620) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $19.64 | — | -$19.64 | 74% 102400-36373 (138773) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $13.3 | — | -$13.3 | 56% 57906-44729 (102635) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 58% 60418-44109 (104527) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 6.4¢ | $10.59 | — | -$10.59 | 55% 44709-37178 (81887) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5¢ | $2.18 | — | -$2.18 | 63% 51732-30464 (82196) |
IM Imgonnadoit | Upavg 39.4¢ | $200 | $0.01 | +$42.62 | 37% 149-258 (407) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19993-19160 (39153) |
Invested
$3,496.5
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$3.5
Record
59%
62165-43330 (105495)
Invested
$2,225.09
Value
$2.4K
PnL
+$223.85
Record
54%
15292-13183 (28475)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$750.56
Value
$907.15
PnL
+$156.59
Record
64%
58160-32830 (90990)
Invested
$431.64
Value
$436
PnL
+$4.36
Record
93%
23201-1758 (24959)
Invested
$353.73
Value
—
PnL
-$353.73
Record
57%
7773-5955 (13728)
Invested
$113.76
Value
$148.76
PnL
+$145.32
Record
34%
587-1138 (1725)
Invested
$115.51
Value
—
PnL
-$115.51
Record
—
Invested
$100.78
Value
—
PnL
-$100.78
Record
57%
6667-4941 (11608)
Invested
$115.05
Value
$154.84
PnL
+$39.8
Record
58%
37751-26971 (64722)
Both legs:
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$65.89
Value
—
PnL
-$65.89
Record
64%
39977-22851 (62828)
Invested
$48.01
Value
$53.5
PnL
+$9.55
Record
64%
22780-12562 (35342)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
—
PnL
-$38.25
Record
58%
12603-9272 (21875)
Invested
$33.77
Value
—
PnL
-$33.77
Record
34%
18735-35730 (54465)
Invested
$23.8
Value
—
PnL
-$23.8
Record
44%
608-789 (1397)
Invested
$23.32
Value
—
PnL
-$23.32
Record
61%
94646-59611 (154257)
Invested
$18.94
Value
—
PnL
-$18.94
Record
58%
50945-37076 (88021)
Invested
$22.26
Value
—
PnL
-$22.26
Record
52%
90065-84555 (174620)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$19.64
Value
—
PnL
-$19.64
Record
74%
102400-36373 (138773)
Invested
$13.3
Value
—
PnL
-$13.3
Record
56%
57906-44729 (102635)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
58%
60418-44109 (104527)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.59
Value
—
PnL
-$10.59
Record
55%
44709-37178 (81887)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.18
Value
—
PnL
-$2.18
Record
63%
51732-30464 (82196)
Invested
$200
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$42.62
Record
37%
149-258 (407)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19993-19160 (39153)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $3.5K
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $907.15
hoodquant
Up — $436
wzbbb
CTRDown — $0
thismonth
Up — $148.76
0x0d2d...7ff5
CTRDown — $0
peepeepoopoo24
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ohioism
CTRDown — $0