Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 70%
1 arb excluded
$4.1K
-$299.87
Smart Money Signal
18 of 25 top traders (72%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97.4¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$36.89 | 93% 23157-1756 (24913) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 52.5¢ | $769.55 | $839.16 | +$74.35 | 64% 58129-32808 (90937) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Downavg 71.5¢ | $778.64 | — | -$778.64 | 54% 15280-13181 (28461) |
WZ wzbbbCTR | Downavg 76.8¢ | $768.64 | — | -$768.64 | 57% 7763-5950 (13713) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR | Downavg 67.7¢ | $265.48 | — | -$265.48 | 57% 6659-4937 (11596) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 54.9¢ | $149.97 | $247.89 | +$97.92 | 55% 44682-37145 (81827) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 16.2¢ | $42 | — | -$42 | 58% 12586-9256 (21842) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 94.7¢ | $225.36 | $238 | +$12.64 | 77% 9361-2804 (12165) |
AS asabovesobelow2 | Upavg 95.8¢ | $156.5 | $163.37 | +$6.87 | 69% 1622-731 (2353) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 65.8¢ | $101.33 | $154 | +$52.67 | 12% 18265-132965 (151230) |
RL RLWG | Upavg 96¢ | $109 | $104.17 | -$4.83 | 50% 7786-7797 (15583) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025ARB<$100 | Upavg 36.3¢ | $107.64 | $173.1 | +$65.46 | 58% 60398-44091 (104489) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 89¢ | $44.73 | — | -$44.73 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 36.3¢ | $62.91 | $173.1 | +$110.19 | |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 76.3¢ | $51.32 | $57.84 | +$6.52 | 52% 90032-84524 (174556) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 37.5¢ | $36.49 | $55.99 | +$19.5 | 61% 94613-59581 (154194) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $42.58 | — | -$42.58 | 58% 37728-26945 (64673) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 95.6¢ | $39.2 | $41 | +$1.8 | 65% 4012-2170 (6182) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 34¢ | $68.14 | $200.36 | +$132.23 | 56% 57878-44713 (102591) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 27.3¢ | $26.78 | $98.03 | +$71.25 | 51% 19978-19143 (39121) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $46 | — | -$46 | 47% 422-480 (902) |
 BoneOhio | Upavg 41¢ | $61.57 | $150.18 | +$88.61 | 74% 102386-36369 (138755) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $20.31 | — | -$20.31 | 64% 39962-22836 (62798) |
TH thismonth<$100 | Upavg 31.7¢ | $60 | $94.7 | +$66.9 | 34% 587-1138 (1725) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 38.4¢ | $57.97 | $59.99 | +$30.14 | 64% 22724-12523 (35247) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $8.54 | $20.83 | +$12.29 | 66% 112010-58363 (170373) |
IM Imgonnadoit | Upavg 35.1¢ | $599.93 | $0 | +$952.41 | 37% 142-243 (385) |
Invested
$1,408.43
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$36.89
Record
93%
23157-1756 (24913)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$769.55
Value
$839.16
PnL
+$74.35
Record
64%
58129-32808 (90937)
Invested
$778.64
Value
—
PnL
-$778.64
Record
54%
15280-13181 (28461)
Invested
$768.64
Value
—
PnL
-$768.64
Record
57%
7763-5950 (13713)
Invested
$265.48
Value
—
PnL
-$265.48
Record
57%
6659-4937 (11596)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$149.97
Value
$247.89
PnL
+$97.92
Record
55%
44682-37145 (81827)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$42
Value
—
PnL
-$42
Record
58%
12586-9256 (21842)
NIULAI4Invested
$225.36
Value
$238
PnL
+$12.64
Record
77%
9361-2804 (12165)
Invested
$156.5
Value
$163.37
PnL
+$6.87
Record
69%
1622-731 (2353)
Invested
$101.33
Value
$154
PnL
+$52.67
Record
12%
18265-132965 (151230)
Invested
$109
Value
$104.17
PnL
-$4.83
Record
50%
7786-7797 (15583)
Invested
$107.64
Value
$173.1
PnL
+$65.46
Record
58%
60398-44091 (104489)
Both legs:
Invested
$51.32
Value
$57.84
PnL
+$6.52
Record
52%
90032-84524 (174556)
Invested
$36.49
Value
$55.99
PnL
+$19.5
Record
61%
94613-59581 (154194)
Invested
$42.58
Value
—
PnL
-$42.58
Record
58%
37728-26945 (64673)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$39.2
Value
$41
PnL
+$1.8
Record
65%
4012-2170 (6182)
Invested
$68.14
Value
$200.36
PnL
+$132.23
Record
56%
57878-44713 (102591)
Invested
$26.78
Value
$98.03
PnL
+$71.25
Record
51%
19978-19143 (39121)
Invested
$46
Value
—
PnL
-$46
Record
47%
422-480 (902)
BoneOhioInvested
$61.57
Value
$150.18
PnL
+$88.61
Record
74%
102386-36369 (138755)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$20.31
Value
—
PnL
-$20.31
Record
64%
39962-22836 (62798)
Invested
$60
Value
$94.7
PnL
+$66.9
Record
34%
587-1138 (1725)
Invested
$57.97
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$30.14
Record
64%
22724-12523 (35247)
Invested
$8.54
Value
$20.83
PnL
+$12.29
Record
66%
112010-58363 (170373)
Invested
$599.93
Value
$0
PnL
+$952.41
Record
37%
142-243 (385)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.4K
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $839.16
aswfadq1555
CTRDown — $0
wzbbb
CTRDown — $0
peepeepoopoo24
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $247.89
wowitsamazing
CTRDown — $0
NIULAI4
Up — $238
asabovesobelow2
Up — $163.37
Hsilverbasher
Up — $154