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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 55%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.8K

Combined PnL

$667.65

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$3.6K
Total Shares3,621
Combined PnL+$723.79
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares221
Combined PnL-$56.15
Up — 62%Down — 38%
AS
aswfadq1555
Up

Invested

$1,837.23

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$13.62

Record

54%

15280-13181 (28461)

HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$1,333.71

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$18.29

Record

93%

23157-1756 (24913)

WZ
wzbbbARB<$100
Down

Invested

$292.77

Value

$183.9

PnL

-$108.87

Record

57%

7763-5950 (13713)

Both legs:

Up$129.7370.5¢+$54.17
Down$163.0416.3¢-$163.04
Polkadot-Frog
Up

Invested

$207.33

Value

$200.9

PnL

-$6.43

Record

64%

58129-32808 (90937)

PE
peepeepoopoo24
Up

Invested

$164.03

Value

$163.91

PnL

-$0.12

Record

57%

6659-4937 (11596)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$27.85

Value

$50

PnL

+$22.15

Record

58%

37728-26945 (64673)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$20.06

Value

—

PnL

-$20.06

Record

55%

44682-37145 (81827)

GO
GoodRecipientCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.8

Value

—

PnL

-$7.8

Record

43%

606-788 (1394)

RL
RLWGCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.5

Value

—

PnL

-$5.5

Record

50%

7786-7797 (15583)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$5.63

Value

$3.62

PnL

-$2.01

Record

61%

94613-59581 (154194)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.95

Value

—

PnL

-$3.95

Record

52%

90032-84524 (174556)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$34.02

Value

—

PnL

-$18.84

Record

64%

22724-12523 (35247)

IM
Imgonnadoit
Up

Invested

$598.13

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$678.29

Record

37%

142-243 (385)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19978-19143 (39121)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x5e3a0ac0...2bf8b8
Slug
btc-updown-15m-1793321100

Traders in this Market

AS

aswfadq1555

Up — $1.9K

+$13.62
HO

hoodquant

Up — $1.4K

+$18.29
WZ

wzbbb

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$108.87

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $200.9

-$6.43
PE

peepeepoopoo24

Up — $163.91

-$0.12
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $50

+$22.15

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$20.06
GO

GoodRecipient

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.8
RL

RLWG

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.5
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $3.62

-$2.01
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