Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 60%
$4.7K
-$652.25
Smart Money Signal
12 of 20 top traders (60%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 91.4¢ | $1.8K | $1.6K | -$210.7 | 64% 58129-32808 (90937) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 89.3¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | -$33.36 | 54% 15280-13181 (28461) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $976.14 | $986 | +$9.86 | 93% 23157-1756 (24913) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 51.6¢ | $406.98 | — | -$406.98 | 58% 37728-26945 (64673) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $211.87 | $216.73 | +$4.86 | 57% 6659-4937 (11596) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 70.4¢ | $236.78 | $197.78 | -$38.99 | 66% 99072-51320 (150392) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 47.5¢ | $99.03 | $208.43 | +$109.4 | 34% 18719-35716 (54435) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $37.5 | $73.59 | +$36.09 | 58% 12586-9256 (21842) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 84.8¢ | $82.81 | $69.68 | -$13.12 | 55% 44682-37145 (81827) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $57.32 | $60.13 | +$2.81 | 52% 90032-84524 (174556) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 84.2¢ | $52.18 | $52.09 | -$0.09 | 61% 94613-59581 (154194) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.5¢ | $38.8 | — | -$38.8 | 54% 14451-12283 (26734) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $44.14 | $23.68 | +$3.81 | 64% 22724-12523 (35247) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 18.7¢ | $28.02 | — | -$28.02 | 56% 57878-44713 (102591) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $28.52 | — | -$28.52 | 58% 60398-44091 (104489) |
BE berlinskiesCTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $9.99 | — | -$9.99 | 58% 5799-4256 (10055) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $11.19 | $15.54 | +$4.35 | 74% 102386-36369 (138755) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $5.41 | — | -$5.41 | 58% 50939-37072 (88011) |
GO GoodRecipientCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 43% 606-788 (1394) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.4¢ | $7.64 | — | -$7.64 | 51% 19978-19143 (39121) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,814.28
Value
$1.6K
PnL
-$210.7
Record
64%
58129-32808 (90937)
Invested
$1,289.99
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$33.36
Record
54%
15280-13181 (28461)
Invested
$976.14
Value
$986
PnL
+$9.86
Record
93%
23157-1756 (24913)
Invested
$406.98
Value
—
PnL
-$406.98
Record
58%
37728-26945 (64673)
Invested
$211.87
Value
$216.73
PnL
+$4.86
Record
57%
6659-4937 (11596)
Invested
$236.78
Value
$197.78
PnL
-$38.99
Record
66%
99072-51320 (150392)
Invested
$99.03
Value
$208.43
PnL
+$109.4
Record
34%
18719-35716 (54435)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
$73.59
PnL
+$36.09
Record
58%
12586-9256 (21842)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$82.81
Value
$69.68
PnL
-$13.12
Record
55%
44682-37145 (81827)
Invested
$57.32
Value
$60.13
PnL
+$2.81
Record
52%
90032-84524 (174556)
Invested
$52.18
Value
$52.09
PnL
-$0.09
Record
61%
94613-59581 (154194)
Invested
$38.8
Value
—
PnL
-$38.8
Record
54%
14451-12283 (26734)
Invested
$44.14
Value
$23.68
PnL
+$3.81
Record
64%
22724-12523 (35247)
Invested
$28.02
Value
—
PnL
-$28.02
Record
56%
57878-44713 (102591)
Invested
$28.52
Value
—
PnL
-$28.52
Record
58%
60398-44091 (104489)
Invested
$9.99
Value
—
PnL
-$9.99
Record
58%
5799-4256 (10055)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$11.19
Value
$15.54
PnL
+$4.35
Record
74%
102386-36369 (138755)
Invested
$5.41
Value
—
PnL
-$5.41
Record
58%
50939-37072 (88011)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
43%
606-788 (1394)
Invested
$7.64
Value
—
PnL
-$7.64
Record
51%
19978-19143 (39121)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $1.6K
aswfadq1555
Down — $1.3K
hoodquant
Down — $986
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $216.73
Bonereaper
Down — $197.78
Little-big
Down — $208.43
wowitsamazing
Down — $73.59
MayorMamdani
Down — $69.68
dvasdkasodk
Down — $60.13