Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 86%
$4.0K
-$942.69
Smart Money Signal
12 of 14 top traders (86%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Upavg 31¢ | $1.2K | — | $-1.2K | 36% 131-234 (365) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 69.6¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$192.2 | 54% 15276-13171 (28447) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$15.79 | 93% 23128-1756 (24884) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 86.9¢ | $786.55 | $816 | +$29.45 | 64% 58097-32792 (90889) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 93.6¢ | $270.33 | $274.99 | +$4.67 | 55% 44647-37116 (81763) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $105.84 | $119.99 | +$14.15 | 57% 6654-4933 (11587) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 76.5¢ | $120.71 | $103.59 | -$17.12 | 66% 99051-51306 (150357) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 77.9¢ | $43.29 | $50.45 | +$11.91 | 64% 22669-12483 (35152) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 95.7¢ | $27.42 | $28.65 | +$1.23 | 63% 51691-30414 (82105) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90.7¢ | $29.91 | $30.29 | +$0.38 | 61% 94573-59553 (154126) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92.7¢ | $25.31 | $27.29 | +$1.98 | 52% 89996-84488 (174484) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81.6¢ | $21.12 | $22.27 | +$1.15 | 66% 125272-64469 (189741) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.4¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 51% 19969-19125 (39094) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $9.51 | $20.03 | +$10.52 | 58% 50929-37060 (87989) |
Invested
$1,200
Value
—
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
36%
131-234 (365)
Invested
$1,153.16
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$192.2
Record
54%
15276-13171 (28447)
Invested
$1,169.39
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$15.79
Record
93%
23128-1756 (24884)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$786.55
Value
$816
PnL
+$29.45
Record
64%
58097-32792 (90889)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$270.33
Value
$274.99
PnL
+$4.67
Record
55%
44647-37116 (81763)
Invested
$105.84
Value
$119.99
PnL
+$14.15
Record
57%
6654-4933 (11587)
Invested
$120.71
Value
$103.59
PnL
-$17.12
Record
66%
99051-51306 (150357)
Invested
$43.29
Value
$50.45
PnL
+$11.91
Record
64%
22669-12483 (35152)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$27.42
Value
$28.65
PnL
+$1.23
Record
63%
51691-30414 (82105)
Invested
$29.91
Value
$30.29
PnL
+$0.38
Record
61%
94573-59553 (154126)
Invested
$25.31
Value
$27.29
PnL
+$1.98
Record
52%
89996-84488 (174484)
Invested
$21.12
Value
$22.27
PnL
+$1.15
Record
66%
125272-64469 (189741)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
51%
19969-19125 (39094)
Invested
$9.51
Value
$20.03
PnL
+$10.52
Record
58%
50929-37060 (87989)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Imgonnadoit
CTRUp — $0
aswfadq1555
Down — $1.3K
hoodquant
Down — $1.2K
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $816
MayorMamdani
Down — $274.99
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $119.99
Bonereaper
Down — $103.59
aaa221
Down — $50.45
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $28.65
asidjasiodja
Down — $30.29