Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 69%
$3.6K
-$129.37
Smart Money Signal
11 of 16 top traders (69%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 87.2¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$49.65 | 64% 57982-32684 (90666) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 87.3¢ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$110.14 | 66% 98941-51224 (150165) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $626.19 | $406.49 | -$219.69 | 54% 15275-13168 (28443) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 92.5¢ | $238.7 | $209.05 | -$29.65 | 54% 10751-9194 (19945) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 85.8¢ | $182.74 | $213 | +$30.26 | 55% 44643-37114 (81757) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.6¢ | $90.5 | — | -$90.5 | 50% 7779-7789 (15568) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 76.1¢ | $85.35 | $99.26 | +$13.91 | 57% 6653-4932 (11585) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $42 | — | -$42 | 47% 418-478 (896) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $69.61 | $70.7 | +$1.09 | 61% 94572-59547 (154119) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 43.2¢ | $41.83 | $96.75 | +$54.92 | 58% 37704-26918 (64622) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 91.6¢ | $41.21 | $41.98 | +$0.77 | 52% 89994-84473 (174467) |
BE berlinskiesCTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $14.99 | — | -$14.99 | 58% 5796-4251 (10047) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.6¢ | $9.1 | — | +$22.3 | 51% 19968-19120 (39088) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $19.71 | $9.6 | -$5.76 | 64% 22658-12474 (35132) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $10.61 | — | -$10.61 | 58% 50929-37060 (87989) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $9.2 | $10 | +$0.8 | 58% 60375-44064 (104439) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,309.81
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$49.65
Record
64%
57982-32684 (90666)
Invested
$1,030.61
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$110.14
Record
66%
98941-51224 (150165)
Invested
$626.19
Value
$406.49
PnL
-$219.69
Record
54%
15275-13168 (28443)
Invested
$238.7
Value
$209.05
PnL
-$29.65
Record
54%
10751-9194 (19945)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$182.74
Value
$213
PnL
+$30.26
Record
55%
44643-37114 (81757)
Invested
$90.5
Value
—
PnL
-$90.5
Record
50%
7779-7789 (15568)
Invested
$85.35
Value
$99.26
PnL
+$13.91
Record
57%
6653-4932 (11585)
Invested
$42
Value
—
PnL
-$42
Record
47%
418-478 (896)
Invested
$69.61
Value
$70.7
PnL
+$1.09
Record
61%
94572-59547 (154119)
Invested
$41.83
Value
$96.75
PnL
+$54.92
Record
58%
37704-26918 (64622)
Invested
$41.21
Value
$41.98
PnL
+$0.77
Record
52%
89994-84473 (174467)
Invested
$14.99
Value
—
PnL
-$14.99
Record
58%
5796-4251 (10047)
Invested
$9.1
Value
—
PnL
+$22.3
Record
51%
19968-19120 (39088)
Invested
$19.71
Value
$9.6
PnL
-$5.76
Record
64%
22658-12474 (35132)
Invested
$10.61
Value
—
PnL
-$10.61
Record
58%
50929-37060 (87989)
Invested
$9.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.8
Record
58%
60375-44064 (104439)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $1.3K
Bonereaper
Down — $1.1K
aswfadq1555
Down — $406.49
thesidehustle
Down — $209.05
MayorMamdani
Down — $213
RLWG
CTRUp — $0
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $99.26
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $70.7
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $96.75