Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 67%
$5.9K
$101.56
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RL RLWG | Upavg 86.8¢ | $2.5K | $2.9K | +$380.41 | 50% 7769-7782 (15551) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 87.9¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$69.4 | 66% 98940-51224 (150164) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.2¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$19.07 | 93% 23082-1754 (24836) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Downavg 28.1¢ | $400 | — | -$400 | 35% 118-220 (338) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 80.6¢ | $221.69 | $216.2 | +$4.43 | 64% 57982-32684 (90666) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819 | Upavg 86.4¢ | $197.88 | $222.74 | +$24.86 | 47% 417-475 (892) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $100.59 | $110.2 | +$9.61 | 57% 6646-4928 (11574) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 80.5¢ | $62.4 | $59.98 | +$12.66 | 64% 22587-12434 (35021) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 95.3¢ | $38.95 | $39.82 | +$0.87 | 63% 51644-30399 (82043) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $36.36 | $39 | +$2.64 | 58% 37673-26899 (64572) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $20.04 | $25.05 | +$5.01 | 64% 39919-22805 (62724) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 29.8¢ | $15.97 | — | -$15.97 | 61% 94531-59515 (154046) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 19.7¢ | $7.18 | — | -$7.18 | 54% 15244-13141 (28385) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $10.97 | $21.51 | +$10.54 | 58% 60356-44051 (104407) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $10.92 | $13.65 | +$2.73 | 62% 43705-26697 (70402) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 27.8¢ | $13.74 | — | -$13.74 | 55% 44610-37084 (81694) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $7.45 | $9.55 | +$2.1 | 56% 57825-44673 (102498) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $4.97 | $7.35 | +$2.38 | 66% 111959-58297 (170256) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 34% 18690-35687 (54377) |
GO GoodRecipientCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 43% 602-786 (1388) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.9¢ | $3.64 | — | -$3.64 | 52% 89954-84437 (174391) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19963-19114 (39077) |
Invested
$2,499.79
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$380.41
Record
50%
7769-7782 (15551)
Invested
$1,063.59
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$69.4
Record
66%
98940-51224 (150164)
Invested
$1,061.92
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$19.07
Record
93%
23082-1754 (24836)
Invested
$400
Value
—
PnL
-$400
Record
35%
118-220 (338)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$221.69
Value
$216.2
PnL
+$4.43
Record
64%
57982-32684 (90666)
Invested
$197.88
Value
$222.74
PnL
+$24.86
Record
47%
417-475 (892)
Invested
$100.59
Value
$110.2
PnL
+$9.61
Record
57%
6646-4928 (11574)
Invested
$62.4
Value
$59.98
PnL
+$12.66
Record
64%
22587-12434 (35021)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$38.95
Value
$39.82
PnL
+$0.87
Record
63%
51644-30399 (82043)
Invested
$36.36
Value
$39
PnL
+$2.64
Record
58%
37673-26899 (64572)
ohioism<$100Invested
$20.04
Value
$25.05
PnL
+$5.01
Record
64%
39919-22805 (62724)
Invested
$15.97
Value
—
PnL
-$15.97
Record
61%
94531-59515 (154046)
Invested
$7.18
Value
—
PnL
-$7.18
Record
54%
15244-13141 (28385)
Invested
$10.97
Value
$21.51
PnL
+$10.54
Record
58%
60356-44051 (104407)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.92
Value
$13.65
PnL
+$2.73
Record
62%
43705-26697 (70402)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.74
Value
—
PnL
-$13.74
Record
55%
44610-37084 (81694)
Invested
$7.45
Value
$9.55
PnL
+$2.1
Record
56%
57825-44673 (102498)
Invested
$4.97
Value
$7.35
PnL
+$2.38
Record
66%
111959-58297 (170256)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
34%
18690-35687 (54377)
Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
43%
602-786 (1388)
Invested
$3.64
Value
—
PnL
-$3.64
Record
52%
89954-84437 (174391)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19963-19114 (39077)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RLWG
Up — $2.9K
Bonereaper
Up — $1.1K
hoodquant
Up — $1.1K
Imgonnadoit
CTRDown — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $216.2
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
Up — $222.74
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $110.2
aaa221
Up — $59.98
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $39.82
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $39