Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 52%
$2.3K
$1.1K
Smart Money Signal
13 of 24 top traders (54%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 66¢ | $733.03 | $735.22 | +$2.19 | 57% 10275-7708 (17983) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Downavg 84¢ | $186 | $200 | +$14 | 73% 95014-35645 (130659) |
PB PBot-6 | Downavg 51¢ | $181.96 | $356.78 | +$174.82 | 58% 50906-37040 (87946) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $174.24 | $212.9 | +$38.66 | 47% 414-473 (887) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $165.33 | $167 | +$1.67 | 93% 23010-1752 (24762) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 69.4¢ | $178.67 | $160.13 | -$18.54 | 57% 6635-4921 (11556) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.3¢ | $92.82 | — | -$92.82 | 34% 18670-35667 (54337) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 94.7¢ | $94.74 | $99.99 | +$5.25 | 50% 7753-7771 (15524) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 44.1¢ | $59.92 | $75.55 | +$15.63 | 56% 57797-44645 (102442) |
 ohioism | Downavg 39.8¢ | $59.76 | $150.08 | +$90.32 | 64% 39898-22795 (62693) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62.7¢ | $55.68 | $55.99 | +$18.62 | 64% 22483-12377 (34860) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $37.5 | — | -$37.5 | 58% 12553-9212 (21765) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 58.5¢ | $56.72 | — | -$56.72 | 57% 70397-53494 (123891) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.7¢ | $39.1 | — | -$39.1 | 51% 19933-19096 (39029) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $33.6 | $60 | +$26.4 | 12% 18228-132947 (151175) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.5¢ | $22.33 | — | -$22.33 | 52% 89899-84354 (174253) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $20.06 | $50.15 | +$30.09 | 58% 60318-44026 (104344) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $15.79 | — | -$15.79 | 58% 37618-26852 (64470) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 62.1¢ | $13.04 | — | -$13.04 | 55% 44540-37040 (81580) |
GO GoodRecipientCTR<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $6.3 | — | -$6.3 | 43% 601-783 (1384) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.8¢ | $4.05 | — | -$4.05 | 61% 94473-59453 (153926) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 55% 17687-14297 (31984) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $2.34 | — | -$2.34 | 63% 51619-30367 (81986) |
IM Imgonnadoit | Downavg 41.1¢ | $1.0K | $0.01 | +$977.35 | 35% 108-204 (312) |
Invested
$733.03
Value
$735.22
PnL
+$2.19
Record
57%
10275-7708 (17983)
Invested
$186
Value
$200
PnL
+$14
Record
73%
95014-35645 (130659)
Invested
$181.96
Value
$356.78
PnL
+$174.82
Record
58%
50906-37040 (87946)
Invested
$174.24
Value
$212.9
PnL
+$38.66
Record
47%
414-473 (887)
Invested
$165.33
Value
$167
PnL
+$1.67
Record
93%
23010-1752 (24762)
Invested
$178.67
Value
$160.13
PnL
-$18.54
Record
57%
6635-4921 (11556)
Invested
$92.82
Value
—
PnL
-$92.82
Record
34%
18670-35667 (54337)
Invested
$94.74
Value
$99.99
PnL
+$5.25
Record
50%
7753-7771 (15524)
Invested
$59.92
Value
$75.55
PnL
+$15.63
Record
56%
57797-44645 (102442)
ohioismInvested
$59.76
Value
$150.08
PnL
+$90.32
Record
64%
39898-22795 (62693)
Invested
$55.68
Value
$55.99
PnL
+$18.62
Record
64%
22483-12377 (34860)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
—
PnL
-$37.5
Record
58%
12553-9212 (21765)
Invested
$56.72
Value
—
PnL
-$56.72
Record
57%
70397-53494 (123891)
Invested
$39.1
Value
—
PnL
-$39.1
Record
51%
19933-19096 (39029)
Invested
$33.6
Value
$60
PnL
+$26.4
Record
12%
18228-132947 (151175)
Invested
$22.33
Value
—
PnL
-$22.33
Record
52%
89899-84354 (174253)
Invested
$20.06
Value
$50.15
PnL
+$30.09
Record
58%
60318-44026 (104344)
Invested
$15.79
Value
—
PnL
-$15.79
Record
58%
37618-26852 (64470)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$13.04
Value
—
PnL
-$13.04
Record
55%
44540-37040 (81580)
Invested
$6.3
Value
—
PnL
-$6.3
Record
43%
601-783 (1384)
Invested
$4.05
Value
—
PnL
-$4.05
Record
61%
94473-59453 (153926)
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
55%
17687-14297 (31984)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.34
Value
—
PnL
-$2.34
Record
63%
51619-30367 (81986)
Invested
$1,000
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$977.35
Record
35%
108-204 (312)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Down — $735.22
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Down — $200
PBot-6
Down — $356.78
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
Down — $212.9
hoodquant
Down — $167
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $160.13
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
RLWG
Down — $99.99
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $75.55
ohioism
Down — $150.08