Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 41%
$3.1K
$44.14
Smart Money Signal
7 of 17 top traders (41%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $1.8K | $1.8K | +$19.12 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 87.4¢ | $590.17 | $535.4 | -$54.76 | 57% 10267-7696 (17963) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 52.3¢ | $314.02 | $600.07 | +$286.05 | 58% 37589-26837 (64426) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $94 | — | -$94 | 34% 18664-35664 (54328) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.1¢ | $52.76 | — | -$52.76 | 58% 50902-37035 (87937) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $49.6 | $50 | +$0.4 | 57% 6631-4917 (11548) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $36 | — | -$36 | 58% 12551-9211 (21762) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $22.25 | $25 | +$2.75 | 55% 44511-37010 (81521) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $22.07 | $25.08 | +$3.01 | 64% 39890-22786 (62676) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.5¢ | $17.77 | — | -$17.77 | 51% 19925-19088 (39013) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $6.6 | $5 | -$1.6 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.2¢ | $2.53 | — | -$2.53 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.4¢ | $2.56 | — | -$2.56 | 61% 94436-59427 (153863) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $2.18 | — | -$2.18 | 65% 3990-2153 (6143) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 9¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 74% 102321-36358 (138679) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 63% 51591-30353 (81944) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 66% 111894-58227 (170121) |
Invested
$1,797.63
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$19.12
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
Invested
$590.17
Value
$535.4
PnL
-$54.76
Record
57%
10267-7696 (17963)
Invested
$314.02
Value
$600.07
PnL
+$286.05
Record
58%
37589-26837 (64426)
Invested
$94
Value
—
PnL
-$94
Record
34%
18664-35664 (54328)
Invested
$52.76
Value
—
PnL
-$52.76
Record
58%
50902-37035 (87937)
Invested
$49.6
Value
$50
PnL
+$0.4
Record
57%
6631-4917 (11548)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$36
Value
—
PnL
-$36
Record
58%
12551-9211 (21762)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$22.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$2.75
Record
55%
44511-37010 (81521)
ohioism<$100Invested
$22.07
Value
$25.08
PnL
+$3.01
Record
64%
39890-22786 (62676)
Invested
$17.77
Value
—
PnL
-$17.77
Record
51%
19925-19088 (39013)
Invested
$6.6
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.6
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
Invested
$2.53
Value
—
PnL
-$2.53
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
Invested
$2.56
Value
—
PnL
-$2.56
Record
61%
94436-59427 (153863)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$2.18
Value
—
PnL
-$2.18
Record
65%
3990-2153 (6143)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
74%
102321-36358 (138679)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
63%
51591-30353 (81944)
Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
66%
111894-58227 (170121)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.8K
trdyugiolkw
Down — $535.4
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $600.07
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $50
wowitsamazing
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $25
ohioism
Down — $25.08
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0