Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 62%
$906.08
-$223.06
Smart Money Signal
13 of 21 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 76.1¢ | $375.99 | $337.02 | -$38.97 | 57% 10267-7696 (17963) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 63.6¢ | $174.07 | $152.42 | -$21.65 | 57% 6631-4917 (11548) |
RL RLWGCTR | Upavg 42.7¢ | $138.85 | — | -$138.85 | 50% 7748-7766 (15514) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Downavg 56.1¢ | $70.64 | $125.89 | +$55.25 | 58% 60303-44021 (104324) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.1¢ | $69.47 | — | -$69.47 | 54% 10700-9147 (19847) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $42.57 | $43 | +$0.43 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $38.7 | — | -$38 | 51% 19925-19088 (39013) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 55.7¢ | $41.25 | $74.12 | +$32.87 | 58% 12551-9211 (21762) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $25.92 | $48 | +$22.08 | 12% 18220-132943 (151163) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $28.42 | — | -$28.42 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.8¢ | $28.3 | — | -$28.3 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $25.2 | $40 | +$14.8 | 56% 57788-44629 (102417) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $19.6 | $20 | +$0.4 | 73% 95012-35644 (130656) |
GO GoodRecipient<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $16.18 | $28.87 | +$12.69 | 43% 599-782 (1381) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $12.32 | $24.16 | +$11.84 | 58% 50902-37035 (87937) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.4¢ | $7.28 | — | -$7.28 | 61% 94436-59427 (153863) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.4¢ | $4.71 | — | -$4.71 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $4 | $5.06 | +$1.06 | 65% 3990-2153 (6143) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $3.75 | $5 | +$1.25 | 62% 43672-26664 (70336) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $2 | $2.53 | +$0.53 | 69% 1614-731 (2345) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.63 | — | -$0.63 | 55% 44511-37010 (81521) |
Invested
$375.99
Value
$337.02
PnL
-$38.97
Record
57%
10267-7696 (17963)
Invested
$174.07
Value
$152.42
PnL
-$21.65
Record
57%
6631-4917 (11548)
Invested
$138.85
Value
—
PnL
-$138.85
Record
50%
7748-7766 (15514)
Invested
$70.64
Value
$125.89
PnL
+$55.25
Record
58%
60303-44021 (104324)
Invested
$69.47
Value
—
PnL
-$69.47
Record
54%
10700-9147 (19847)
Invested
$42.57
Value
$43
PnL
+$0.43
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
Invested
$38.7
Value
—
PnL
-$38
Record
51%
19925-19088 (39013)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$41.25
Value
$74.12
PnL
+$32.87
Record
58%
12551-9211 (21762)
Invested
$25.92
Value
$48
PnL
+$22.08
Record
12%
18220-132943 (151163)
Invested
$28.42
Value
—
PnL
-$28.42
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
Invested
$28.3
Value
—
PnL
-$28.3
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
Invested
$25.2
Value
$40
PnL
+$14.8
Record
56%
57788-44629 (102417)
Invested
$19.6
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.4
Record
73%
95012-35644 (130656)
Invested
$16.18
Value
$28.87
PnL
+$12.69
Record
43%
599-782 (1381)
Invested
$12.32
Value
$24.16
PnL
+$11.84
Record
58%
50902-37035 (87937)
Invested
$7.28
Value
—
PnL
-$7.28
Record
61%
94436-59427 (153863)
Invested
$4.71
Value
—
PnL
-$4.71
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$1.06
Record
65%
3990-2153 (6143)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$3.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.25
Record
62%
43672-26664 (70336)
Invested
$2
Value
$2.53
PnL
+$0.53
Record
69%
1614-731 (2345)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.63
Value
—
PnL
-$0.63
Record
55%
44511-37010 (81521)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Down — $337.02
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $152.42
RLWG
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $125.89
thesidehustle
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
Down — $43
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
wowitsamazing
Down — $74.12
Hsilverbasher
Down — $48
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0