Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 52%
1 arb excluded
$3.0K
-$475.01
Smart Money Signal
13 of 24 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$14.35 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
RL RLWGCTR | Downavg 32¢ | $401.93 | — | -$401.93 | 50% 7748-7766 (15514) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 64.5¢ | $680.97 | $645.35 | -$35.61 | 57% 10267-7696 (17963) |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $168.32 | $161.34 | -$6.98 | 57% 6631-4917 (11548) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61¢ | $98.35 | $161.34 | +$62.99 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 53.6¢ | $69.97 | — | -$69.97 | |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 82.3¢ | $142.31 | $112.41 | -$29.9 | 54% 10700-9147 (19847) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 82.1¢ | $133.17 | $105.43 | -$27.74 | 55% 44511-37010 (81521) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.8¢ | $58.23 | — | -$58.23 | 54% 14442-12267 (26709) |
 G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 68¢ | $109.18 | $150.18 | +$41 | 62% 43672-26664 (70336) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 68¢ | $102.12 | $150.18 | +$48.06 | 58% 60303-44021 (104324) |
 ohioism | Upavg 68¢ | $102.05 | $150.08 | +$48.03 | 64% 39890-22786 (62676) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 86.7¢ | $36.89 | $38.65 | +$1.76 | 61% 94436-59427 (153863) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 54.9¢ | $40.5 | — | -$40.5 | 58% 12551-9211 (21762) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.5¢ | $25.22 | — | -$25.22 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $15.43 | $51.43 | +$36 | 65% 124636-66673 (191309) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 54.8¢ | $27.82 | $31.34 | +$3.52 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 58.9¢ | $18.66 | — | -$18.66 | 34% 18664-35664 (54328) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $5.9 | $7.21 | +$1.31 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $9.3 | — | -$9.3 | 74% 102321-36358 (138679) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $7.09 | — | -$7.09 | 66% 125199-64428 (189627) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $6.7 | — | -$6.7 | 56% 57788-44629 (102417) |
GO GoodRecipientCTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $3.7 | — | -$3.7 | 43% 599-782 (1381) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 58% 37589-26837 (64426) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 12% 18220-132943 (151163) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $2.4 | $5 | +$2.6 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 90.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19925-19088 (39013) |
Invested
$1,420.92
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$14.35
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
Invested
$401.93
Value
—
PnL
-$401.93
Record
50%
7748-7766 (15514)
Invested
$680.97
Value
$645.35
PnL
-$35.61
Record
57%
10267-7696 (17963)
Invested
$168.32
Value
$161.34
PnL
-$6.98
Record
57%
6631-4917 (11548)
Both legs:
Invested
$142.31
Value
$112.41
PnL
-$29.9
Record
54%
10700-9147 (19847)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$133.17
Value
$105.43
PnL
-$27.74
Record
55%
44511-37010 (81521)
Invested
$58.23
Value
—
PnL
-$58.23
Record
54%
14442-12267 (26709)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$109.18
Value
$150.18
PnL
+$41
Record
62%
43672-26664 (70336)
Invested
$102.12
Value
$150.18
PnL
+$48.06
Record
58%
60303-44021 (104324)
ohioismInvested
$102.05
Value
$150.08
PnL
+$48.03
Record
64%
39890-22786 (62676)
Invested
$36.89
Value
$38.65
PnL
+$1.76
Record
61%
94436-59427 (153863)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$40.5
Value
—
PnL
-$40.5
Record
58%
12551-9211 (21762)
Invested
$25.22
Value
—
PnL
-$25.22
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
Invested
$15.43
Value
$51.43
PnL
+$36
Record
65%
124636-66673 (191309)
Invested
$27.82
Value
$31.34
PnL
+$3.52
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
Invested
$18.66
Value
—
PnL
-$18.66
Record
34%
18664-35664 (54328)
Invested
$5.9
Value
$7.21
PnL
+$1.31
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$9.3
Value
—
PnL
-$9.3
Record
74%
102321-36358 (138679)
Invested
$7.09
Value
—
PnL
-$7.09
Record
66%
125199-64428 (189627)
Invested
$6.7
Value
—
PnL
-$6.7
Record
56%
57788-44629 (102417)
Invested
$3.7
Value
—
PnL
-$3.7
Record
43%
599-782 (1381)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
58%
37589-26837 (64426)
Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
12%
18220-132943 (151163)
Invested
$2.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.6
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19925-19088 (39013)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.4K
RLWG
CTRDown — $0
trdyugiolkw
Up — $645.35
peepeepoopoo24
ARBArbitrage — excluded
thesidehustle
Up — $112.41
MayorMamdani
Up — $105.43
tmsd-test
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $150.18
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $150.18
ohioism
Up — $150.08