Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Up 63%
$3.0K
$30.15
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.5Β’ | $1.7K | $1.7K | +$25.84 | 93% 22987-1751 (24738) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Upavg 89.1Β’ | $432.2 | $472.74 | +$40.54 | 55% 44511-37010 (81521) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 80.6Β’ | $327.73 | $324 | -$3.73 | 57% 10267-7696 (17963) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 54.7Β’ | $107.93 | $159.99 | +$52.06 | 54% 10700-9147 (19847) |
DE devonpoll | Upavg 72.3Β’ | $90.45 | $135 | +$86.33 | 51% 19925-19088 (39013) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 78.5Β’ | $101.39 | $106.33 | +$4.94 | 57% 6631-4917 (11548) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Downavg 52Β’ | $104.1 | β | -$104.1 | 34% 18664-35664 (54328) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $37.5 | β | -$37.5 | 58% 12551-9211 (21762) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 66Β’ | $33.5 | $50.76 | +$17.26 | 58% 60303-44021 (104324) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.2Β’ | $33.93 | $35.42 | +$1.49 | 66% 125199-64428 (189627) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 53Β’ | $26.5 | β | -$26.5 | 58% 37589-26837 (64426) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95.9Β’ | $26.45 | $23 | -$3.45 | 61% 94436-59427 (153863) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $21.2 | β | -$21.2 | 58% 50902-37035 (87937) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 69Β’ | $7.41 | $10.74 | +$3.33 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Downavg 32Β’ | $3.44 | β | -$3.44 | 54% 14442-12267 (26709) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Downavg 31Β’ | $1.72 | β | -$1.72 | 47% 414-473 (887) |
Invested
$1,694.27
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$25.84
Record
93%
22987-1751 (24738)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$432.2
Value
$472.74
PnL
+$40.54
Record
55%
44511-37010 (81521)
Invested
$327.73
Value
$324
PnL
-$3.73
Record
57%
10267-7696 (17963)
Invested
$107.93
Value
$159.99
PnL
+$52.06
Record
54%
10700-9147 (19847)
Invested
$90.45
Value
$135
PnL
+$86.33
Record
51%
19925-19088 (39013)
Invested
$101.39
Value
$106.33
PnL
+$4.94
Record
57%
6631-4917 (11548)
Invested
$104.1
Value
β
PnL
-$104.1
Record
34%
18664-35664 (54328)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
β
PnL
-$37.5
Record
58%
12551-9211 (21762)
Invested
$33.5
Value
$50.76
PnL
+$17.26
Record
58%
60303-44021 (104324)
Invested
$33.93
Value
$35.42
PnL
+$1.49
Record
66%
125199-64428 (189627)
Invested
$26.5
Value
β
PnL
-$26.5
Record
58%
37589-26837 (64426)
Invested
$26.45
Value
$23
PnL
-$3.45
Record
61%
94436-59427 (153863)
Invested
$21.2
Value
β
PnL
-$21.2
Record
58%
50902-37035 (87937)
Invested
$7.41
Value
$10.74
PnL
+$3.33
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
Invested
$3.44
Value
β
PnL
-$3.44
Record
54%
14442-12267 (26709)
Invested
$1.72
Value
β
PnL
-$1.72
Record
47%
414-473 (887)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $1.7K

MayorMamdani
Up β $472.74
trdyugiolkw
Up β $324
thesidehustle
Up β $159.99
devonpoll
Up β $135
peepeepoopoo24
Up β $106.33
Little-big
CTRDown β $0

wowitsamazing
CTRDown β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up β $50.76
asdaefef
Up β $35.42