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Consensus Won βœ“

Smart money consensus was Up β€” and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

πŸ†

Won

Consensus Traders

18

Up 61%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.5K

Combined PnL

-$52.26

Smart Money Signal

Up

11 of 18 top traders (61%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up11 traders
Total Value$3.2K
Total Shares3,202
Combined PnL+$319.48
Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares578
Combined PnL-$371.74
Up β€” 61%Down β€” 39%
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$1,050.5

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$11.35

Record

93%

22942-1749 (24691)

CR
CrouchPredictions
Up

Invested

$914.68

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$118.41

Record

56%

14287-11206 (25493)

TR
trdyugiolkw
Up

Invested

$672.16

Value

$747.9

PnL

+$75.74

Record

57%

10246-7680 (17926)

PE
peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$161.3

Value

$143.35

PnL

-$17.95

Record

57%

6624-4907 (11531)

Both legs:

Down$65.8152.3Β’-$65.81
Up$95.4966.6Β’+$47.86
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR
Down

Invested

$113.56

Value

β€”

PnL

-$113.56

Record

56%

57762-44611 (102373)

AS
asdaefefARB<$100
Up

Invested

$131.72

Value

$123.01

PnL

-$8.71

Record

66%

125109-64377 (189486)

Both legs:

Down$65.4764.8Β’-$65.47
Up$66.2553.9Β’+$56.76
LI
Little-bigCTR
Down

Invested

$113.66

Value

β€”

PnL

-$113.66

Record

34%

18648-35642 (54290)

DE
devonpoll
Up

Invested

$138.4

Value

$186.79

PnL

+$48.39

Record

51%

19907-19065 (38972)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$49.13

Value

β€”

PnL

-$49.13

Record

61%

94365-59372 (153737)

wowitsamazingCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$40.5

Value

β€”

PnL

-$40.5

Record

58%

12546-9208 (21754)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$13.16

Value

$32.82

PnL

+$19.66

Record

52%

89796-84260 (174056)

0X
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13

Value

β€”

PnL

-$13

Record

73%

95012-35644 (130656)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$29.78

Value

$28.53

PnL

-$0.35

Record

65%

22359-12289 (34648)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$38.86

Value

$65.07

PnL

+$26.21

Record

55%

44462-36957 (81419)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$32.53

Value

β€”

PnL

-$32.53

Record

64%

39870-22776 (62646)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$14.57

Value

$15.13

PnL

+$0.56

Record

63%

51542-30333 (81875)

BoneOhioCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.37

Value

β€”

PnL

-$9.37

Record

74%

102303-36356 (138659)

GO
GoodRecipient<$100
Up

Invested

$2.8

Value

$10

PnL

+$7.2

Record

43%

596-782 (1378)

RL
RLWG<$100
Up

Invested

$6.15

Value

$15

PnL

+$8.85

Record

50%

7744-7758 (15502)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$2.22

Value

$5.68

PnL

+$3.46

Record

58%

37558-26812 (64370)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x6dfe216d...946eaa
Slug
btc-updown-15m-1793273400
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