Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$893.01

Combined PnL

-$893.74

Smart Money Signal

10 of 19 top traders (53%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$754.22

Total Shares754

Combined PnL-$159.09

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,292

Combined PnL-$734.65

Down — 47%Up — 53%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 74.6¢	$748.02	$517.87	-$230.15	56% 14287-11206 (25493)
TR trdyugiolkwCTR	Upavg 32¢	$310.04	—	-$310.04	57% 10246-7680 (17926)
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100	Upavg 65.2¢	$181.7	$138.79	-$42.91	57% 6624-4907 (11531)
└ Down leg	Downavg 57.8¢	$80.2	$138.79	+$58.59
└ Up leg	Upavg 65.2¢	$101.5	—	-$101.5
LI Little-bigCTR	Upavg 55.2¢	$110.57	—	-$110.57	34% 18648-35642 (54290)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 70.9¢	$112.92	—	-$112.92	57% 70317-53442 (123759)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 63.4¢	$77.41	$77.36	-$0.05	66% 125109-64377 (189486)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 63.9¢	$47.86	—	-$47.86	58% 37558-26812 (64370)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 35.3¢	$35.53	—	-$35.53	52% 89796-84260 (174056)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 41.2¢	$39.31	—	-$39.31	61% 94365-59372 (153737)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Upavg 56.3¢	$42	—	-$42	58% 12546-9208 (21754)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 55.5¢	$34.59	$62.34	+$27.75	58% 60278-44004 (104282)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Upavg 72¢	$21.59	—	-$21.59	50% 7744-7758 (15502)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 49¢	$15	$29.05	+$14.05	58% 50880-37022 (87902)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 57¢	$14.83	—	-$14.83	66% 111846-58190 (170036)
GO GoodRecipient<$100	Downavg 46.5¢	$15.55	$19.25	+$3.7	43% 596-782 (1378)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 49¢	$10.54	$21.51	+$10.97	62% 43662-26649 (70311)
TM tmsd-test<$100	Downavg 52¢	$6.42	$12.35	+$5.93	54% 14429-12264 (26693)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 34¢	$3.4	$10	+$6.6	55% 44462-36957 (81419)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 53¢	$2.38	$4.49	+$2.11	56% 57762-44611 (102373)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 78¢	—	—	+$0	51% 19907-19065 (38972)