Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Up 78%
$3.2K
$285.23
Smart Money Signal
15 of 19 top traders (79%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 85.1Β’ | $1.0K | $1.1K | +$98.95 | 56% 14287-11206 (25493) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $988.02 | $998 | +$9.98 | 93% 22942-1749 (24691) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 83.4Β’ | $457.51 | $494.93 | +$37.43 | 57% 10246-7680 (17926) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 54.9Β’ | $104.96 | $191.25 | +$86.29 | 34% 18648-35642 (54290) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 83.8Β’ | $71.58 | $77.31 | +$5.74 | 57% 6624-4907 (11531) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 67.5Β’ | $53.32 | $79 | +$25.68 | 58% 37558-26812 (64370) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84.5Β’ | $51.24 | $50.61 | +$9.33 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 84.1Β’ | $37.98 | $43 | +$5.02 | 55% 44462-36957 (81419) |
![]() wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $41.25 | $75 | +$33.75 | 58% 12546-9208 (21754) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.8Β’ | $17.04 | β | -$17.04 | 12% 18180-132911 (151091) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97Β’ | $25.33 | $23.01 | -$2.32 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 95.6Β’ | $18.01 | $15.81 | -$2.2 | 63% 51542-30333 (81875) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.2Β’ | $13.96 | $16.39 | +$2.43 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 82.8Β’ | $10.42 | $10.07 | -$0.35 | 61% 94365-59372 (153737) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 12.7Β’ | $6.52 | β | -$6.52 | 56% 57762-44611 (102373) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 82Β’ | $4.31 | $5.25 | +$0.95 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 14Β’ | $1.8 | β | -$1.8 | 58% 60278-44004 (104282) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 0.7Β’ | $0.07 | β | -$0.07 | 66% 111846-58190 (170036) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19907-19065 (38972) |
Invested
$1,030.91
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$98.95
Record
56%
14287-11206 (25493)
Invested
$988.02
Value
$998
PnL
+$9.98
Record
93%
22942-1749 (24691)
Invested
$457.51
Value
$494.93
PnL
+$37.43
Record
57%
10246-7680 (17926)
Invested
$104.96
Value
$191.25
PnL
+$86.29
Record
34%
18648-35642 (54290)
Invested
$71.58
Value
$77.31
PnL
+$5.74
Record
57%
6624-4907 (11531)
Invested
$53.32
Value
$79
PnL
+$25.68
Record
58%
37558-26812 (64370)
Invested
$51.24
Value
$50.61
PnL
+$9.33
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$37.98
Value
$43
PnL
+$5.02
Record
55%
44462-36957 (81419)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$41.25
Value
$75
PnL
+$33.75
Record
58%
12546-9208 (21754)
Invested
$17.04
Value
β
PnL
-$17.04
Record
12%
18180-132911 (151091)
Invested
$25.33
Value
$23.01
PnL
-$2.32
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$18.01
Value
$15.81
PnL
-$2.2
Record
63%
51542-30333 (81875)
Invested
$13.96
Value
$16.39
PnL
+$2.43
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
Invested
$10.42
Value
$10.07
PnL
-$0.35
Record
61%
94365-59372 (153737)
Invested
$6.52
Value
β
PnL
-$6.52
Record
56%
57762-44611 (102373)
Invested
$4.31
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$0.95
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
Invested
$1.8
Value
β
PnL
-$1.8
Record
58%
60278-44004 (104282)
Invested
$0.07
Value
β
PnL
-$0.07
Record
66%
111846-58190 (170036)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19907-19065 (38972)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up β $1.1K
hoodquant
Up β $998
trdyugiolkw
Up β $494.93
Little-big
Up β $191.25
peepeepoopoo24
Up β $77.31
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $79
aaa221
Up β $50.61

MayorMamdani
Up β $43

wowitsamazing
Up β $75
Hsilverbasher
CTRDown β $0