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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 88%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.4K

Combined PnL

-$317.38

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$2.3K
Total Shares2,319
Combined PnL+$7.79
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares402
Combined PnL-$325.17
Up — 89%Down — 11%
HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$1,578.19

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$16.16

Record

93%

22942-1749 (24691)

CR
CrouchPredictions
Up

Invested

$588.74

Value

$573.49

PnL

-$15.25

Record

56%

14287-11206 (25493)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR
Down

Invested

$325.17

Value

—

PnL

-$325.17

Record

58%

37558-26812 (64370)

AS
asdaefefARB<$100
Up

Invested

$63.47

Value

$69.39

PnL

+$5.92

Record

66%

125109-64377 (189486)

Both legs:

Up$61.1688.1¢+$8.23
Down$2.314¢-$2.31
AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$50.75

Value

$54.09

PnL

+$3.34

Record

61%

94365-59372 (153737)

PE
peepeepoopoo24<$100
Up

Invested

$35.2

Value

$33.29

PnL

-$1.91

Record

57%

6624-4907 (11531)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$18.26

Value

$20

PnL

+$1.75

Record

55%

44462-36957 (81419)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$22.43

Value

$25.53

PnL

+$3.1

Record

52%

89796-84260 (174056)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Up

Invested

$17.99

Value

$18.61

PnL

+$0.62

Record

63%

51542-30333 (81875)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19907-19065 (38972)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xa8602caa...7e8c60
Slug
btc-updown-15m-1793269800

Traders in this Market

HO

hoodquant

Up — $1.6K

+$16.16
CR

CrouchPredictions

Up — $573.49

-$15.25
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$325.17
AS

asdaefef

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$5.92
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $54.09

+$3.34
PE

peepeepoopoo24

Up — $33.29

-$1.91

MayorMamdani

Up — $20

+$1.75
DV

dvasdkasodk

Up — $25.53

+$3.1

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $18.61

+$0.62
DE

devonpoll

Up — $0

+$0
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