Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 93%
$2.0K
-$98.46
Smart Money Signal
13 of 15 top traders (87%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 83.4¢ | $776.52 | $694.59 | -$81.92 | 56% 14271-11198 (25469) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 74.5¢ | $568.9 | $530.6 | -$38.29 | 57% 10235-7671 (17906) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 83.6¢ | $304.21 | $292.3 | -$11.9 | 54% 10671-9116 (19787) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 78.7¢ | $123.24 | $119.99 | -$3.25 | 57% 6621-4900 (11521) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 70.8¢ | $73.23 | $80 | +$6.77 | 54% 15233-13135 (28368) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $66.43 | $73 | +$6.57 | 54% 14426-12254 (26680) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 78.1¢ | $31.68 | $37.34 | +$5.66 | 61% 94330-59348 (153678) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 90.7¢ | $27.55 | $30.36 | +$2.81 | 63% 51515-30317 (81832) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $22.6 | $32.05 | +$9.45 | 66% 125065-64347 (189412) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 78.9¢ | $29.05 | $24.05 | +$6.99 | 65% 22322-12252 (34574) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $23.67 | $22 | -$1.67 | 52% 89759-84223 (173982) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $18.86 | $20.79 | +$1.93 | 58% 37542-26799 (64341) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 77.5¢ | $8.1 | $10 | +$1.9 | 55% 44432-36934 (81366) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 50% 7741-7756 (15497) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19894-19056 (38950) |
Invested
$776.52
Value
$694.59
PnL
-$81.92
Record
56%
14271-11198 (25469)
Invested
$568.9
Value
$530.6
PnL
-$38.29
Record
57%
10235-7671 (17906)
Invested
$304.21
Value
$292.3
PnL
-$11.9
Record
54%
10671-9116 (19787)
Invested
$123.24
Value
$119.99
PnL
-$3.25
Record
57%
6621-4900 (11521)
Invested
$73.23
Value
$80
PnL
+$6.77
Record
54%
15233-13135 (28368)
Invested
$66.43
Value
$73
PnL
+$6.57
Record
54%
14426-12254 (26680)
Invested
$31.68
Value
$37.34
PnL
+$5.66
Record
61%
94330-59348 (153678)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$27.55
Value
$30.36
PnL
+$2.81
Record
63%
51515-30317 (81832)
Invested
$22.6
Value
$32.05
PnL
+$9.45
Record
66%
125065-64347 (189412)
Invested
$29.05
Value
$24.05
PnL
+$6.99
Record
65%
22322-12252 (34574)
Invested
$23.67
Value
$22
PnL
-$1.67
Record
52%
89759-84223 (173982)
Invested
$18.86
Value
$20.79
PnL
+$1.93
Record
58%
37542-26799 (64341)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.9
Record
55%
44432-36934 (81366)
Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
50%
7741-7756 (15497)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19894-19056 (38950)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $694.59
trdyugiolkw
Down — $530.6
thesidehustle
Down — $292.3
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $119.99
aswfadq1555
Down — $80
tmsd-test
Down — $73
asidjasiodja
Down — $37.34
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $30.36
asdaefef
Down — $32.05
aaa221
Down — $24.05