Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Down 63%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

-$136.41

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up100%

Down0%

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares344

Combined PnL-$138.92

Up4 traders

Total Value$108.82

Total Shares109

Combined PnL+$2.51

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CR CrouchPredictionsARB<$100	Upavg 79.2¢	$926.29	$867.77	-$58.52	56% 14271-11198 (25469)
└ Down leg	Downavg 19.1¢	$239.26	—	-$239.26
└ Up leg	Upavg 79.2¢	$687.04	$867.77	+$180.74
TR trdyugiolkwARB<$100	Upavg 76.5¢	$606.37	$564.22	-$42.15	57% 10235-7671 (17906)
└ Down leg	Downavg 29.3¢	$174.85	—	-$174.85
└ Up leg	Upavg 76.5¢	$431.52	$564.22	+$132.7
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Downavg 36¢	$81.83	—	-$81.83	54% 15233-13135 (28368)
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100	Upavg 77.3¢	$91.4	$83.93	-$7.47	57% 6621-4900 (11521)
└ Down leg	Downavg 29.4¢	$26.5	—	-$26.5
└ Up leg	Upavg 77.3¢	$64.9	$83.93	+$19.02
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Downavg 55¢	$41.25	—	-$41.25	58% 12546-9207 (21753)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$59.02	$59.62	+$0.6	93% 22919-1748 (24667)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 87.7¢	$27.26	$30.15	+$2.89	66% 125065-64347 (189412)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 41.3¢	$12.4	—	-$12.4	55% 44432-36934 (81366)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 97.5¢	$20.03	$19.05	-$0.98	61% 94330-59348 (153678)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$1.74	—	-$1.74	52% 89759-84223 (173982)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Downavg 34¢	$1.7	—	-$1.7	50% 7741-7756 (15497)
DE devonpoll<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	51% 19894-19056 (38950)