Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
17
Up 81%
$1.6K
-$167.19
Smart Money Signal
14 of 17 top traders (82%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 77.9Β’ | $610.01 | $542.07 | -$67.94 | 56% 14197-11140 (25337) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 73.3Β’ | $329.27 | $333.87 | +$4.6 | 57% 10233-7665 (17898) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 83.1Β’ | $321.82 | $291.32 | -$30.51 | 68% 99024-47353 (146377) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Upavg 85.9Β’ | $112.55 | $131 | +$18.45 | 55% 44407-36899 (81306) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Downavg 50.9Β’ | $101.83 | β | -$101.83 | 34% 18628-35622 (54250) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 71.9Β’ | $57.39 | $44.26 | -$13.13 | 54% 10645-9096 (19741) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | $60.8 | $75.06 | +$14.26 | 64% 39836-22759 (62595) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 80.2Β’ | $43.48 | $37.29 | -$6.19 | 57% 6617-4895 (11512) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85Β’ | $24.98 | $27.55 | +$2.57 | 66% 125021-64333 (189354) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89.9Β’ | $19.92 | $22.17 | +$2.25 | 61% 94291-59323 (153614) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 90.4Β’ | $16.33 | $18.06 | +$1.73 | 52% 89734-84193 (173927) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $9.52 | $19.04 | +$9.52 | 58% 50863-37010 (87873) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $4.96 | $8.92 | +$3.96 | 66% 111803-58146 (169949) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 28Β’ | $4.12 | β | -$4.12 | 55% 49400-39611 (89011) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 17Β’ | $2.27 | β | -$2.27 | 65% 22283-12231 (34514) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 71Β’ | $3.55 | $5 | +$1.45 | 56% 57728-44595 (102323) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19890-19043 (38933) |
Invested
$610.01
Value
$542.07
PnL
-$67.94
Record
56%
14197-11140 (25337)
Invested
$329.27
Value
$333.87
PnL
+$4.6
Record
57%
10233-7665 (17898)
Invested
$321.82
Value
$291.32
PnL
-$30.51
Record
68%
99024-47353 (146377)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$112.55
Value
$131
PnL
+$18.45
Record
55%
44407-36899 (81306)
Invested
$101.83
Value
β
PnL
-$101.83
Record
34%
18628-35622 (54250)
Invested
$57.39
Value
$44.26
PnL
-$13.13
Record
54%
10645-9096 (19741)
ohioism<$100Invested
$60.8
Value
$75.06
PnL
+$14.26
Record
64%
39836-22759 (62595)
Invested
$43.48
Value
$37.29
PnL
-$6.19
Record
57%
6617-4895 (11512)
Invested
$24.98
Value
$27.55
PnL
+$2.57
Record
66%
125021-64333 (189354)
Invested
$19.92
Value
$22.17
PnL
+$2.25
Record
61%
94291-59323 (153614)
Invested
$16.33
Value
$18.06
PnL
+$1.73
Record
52%
89734-84193 (173927)
Invested
$9.52
Value
$19.04
PnL
+$9.52
Record
58%
50863-37010 (87873)
Invested
$4.96
Value
$8.92
PnL
+$3.96
Record
66%
111803-58146 (169949)
Invested
$4.12
Value
β
PnL
-$4.12
Record
55%
49400-39611 (89011)
Invested
$2.27
Value
β
PnL
-$2.27
Record
65%
22283-12231 (34514)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.45
Record
56%
57728-44595 (102323)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19890-19043 (38933)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up β $542.07
trdyugiolkw
Up β $333.87
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $291.32

MayorMamdani
Up β $131
Little-big
CTRDown β $0
thesidehustle
Up β $44.26

ohioism
Up β $75.06
peepeepoopoo24
Up β $37.29
asdaefef
Up β $27.55
asidjasiodja
Up β $22.17