Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 87%
$1.3K
$25.85
Smart Money Signal
13 of 15 top traders (87%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 87.5¢ | $400.87 | $434.3 | +$33.42 | 57% 10224-7661 (17885) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 97.9¢ | $304.62 | $294 | -$10.62 | 54% 10628-9072 (19700) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 59.7¢ | $200.69 | $171.42 | -$29.26 | 56% 14197-11138 (25335) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 90¢ | $115.82 | $84 | -$31.28 | 54% 15232-13128 (28360) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 72¢ | $72.03 | $100.04 | +$28.01 | 56% 57718-44587 (102305) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $32.8 | $40 | +$7.2 | 57% 6611-4895 (11506) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $30.61 | $32.11 | +$1.5 | 52% 89700-84165 (173865) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 72.3¢ | $17.11 | $23.66 | +$6.55 | 61% 94254-59306 (153560) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 98.1¢ | $20.6 | $21.01 | +$0.41 | 65% 22230-12205 (34435) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 96.2¢ | $14.81 | $15.4 | +$0.59 | 63% 51474-30294 (81768) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $13.74 | $28.63 | +$14.89 | 34% 18620-35608 (54228) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 55.3¢ | $9.3 | $16.82 | +$7.52 | 66% 124974-64321 (189295) |
BE beeemw<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $5 | $6.25 | +$1.25 | 78% 296-84 (380) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.77 | — | -$0.77 | 55% 50174-40767 (90941) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.9¢ | $3.55 | — | -$3.55 | 55% 44381-36870 (81251) |
Invested
$400.87
Value
$434.3
PnL
+$33.42
Record
57%
10224-7661 (17885)
Invested
$304.62
Value
$294
PnL
-$10.62
Record
54%
10628-9072 (19700)
Invested
$200.69
Value
$171.42
PnL
-$29.26
Record
56%
14197-11138 (25335)
Invested
$115.82
Value
$84
PnL
-$31.28
Record
54%
15232-13128 (28360)
Invested
$72.03
Value
$100.04
PnL
+$28.01
Record
56%
57718-44587 (102305)
Invested
$32.8
Value
$40
PnL
+$7.2
Record
57%
6611-4895 (11506)
Invested
$30.61
Value
$32.11
PnL
+$1.5
Record
52%
89700-84165 (173865)
Invested
$17.11
Value
$23.66
PnL
+$6.55
Record
61%
94254-59306 (153560)
Invested
$20.6
Value
$21.01
PnL
+$0.41
Record
65%
22230-12205 (34435)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.81
Value
$15.4
PnL
+$0.59
Record
63%
51474-30294 (81768)
Invested
$13.74
Value
$28.63
PnL
+$14.89
Record
34%
18620-35608 (54228)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$16.82
PnL
+$7.52
Record
66%
124974-64321 (189295)
Invested
$5
Value
$6.25
PnL
+$1.25
Record
78%
296-84 (380)
Invested
$0.77
Value
—
PnL
-$0.77
Record
55%
50174-40767 (90941)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.55
Value
—
PnL
-$3.55
Record
55%
44381-36870 (81251)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Down — $434.3
thesidehustle
Down — $294
CrouchPredictions
Down — $171.42
aswfadq1555
Down — $84
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $100.04
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $40
dvasdkasodk
Down — $32.11
asidjasiodja
Down — $23.66
aaa221
Down — $21.01
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $15.4