Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 91%
$1.6K
$233.7
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 60.9¢ | $633.95 | $802.4 | +$168.45 | 56% 14196-11136 (25332) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $504.9 | $510 | +$5.1 | 93% 22826-1744 (24570) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 49.4¢ | $56.68 | $78.08 | +$21.4 | 54% 10578-9036 (19614) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 51.9¢ | $36.7 | $65.85 | +$29.15 | 55% 44344-36830 (81174) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 62.3¢ | $54.01 | $52.7 | -$1.31 | 66% 124908-64287 (189195) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 48.5¢ | $25.82 | $38 | +$12.18 | 57% 6603-4890 (11493) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 78.2¢ | $18.93 | $24.21 | +$5.28 | 52% 89668-84106 (173774) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 93.2¢ | $18.04 | $19.35 | +$1.31 | 63% 51442-30275 (81717) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $14.73 | — | -$14.73 | 58% 50847-36987 (87834) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 71.4¢ | $20.26 | $20.34 | +$0.08 | 61% 94214-59259 (153473) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 55.4¢ | $8.45 | $15.24 | +$6.79 | 55% 17500-14140 (31640) |
Invested
$633.95
Value
$802.4
PnL
+$168.45
Record
56%
14196-11136 (25332)
Invested
$504.9
Value
$510
PnL
+$5.1
Record
93%
22826-1744 (24570)
Invested
$56.68
Value
$78.08
PnL
+$21.4
Record
54%
10578-9036 (19614)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$36.7
Value
$65.85
PnL
+$29.15
Record
55%
44344-36830 (81174)
Invested
$54.01
Value
$52.7
PnL
-$1.31
Record
66%
124908-64287 (189195)
Invested
$25.82
Value
$38
PnL
+$12.18
Record
57%
6603-4890 (11493)
Invested
$18.93
Value
$24.21
PnL
+$5.28
Record
52%
89668-84106 (173774)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$18.04
Value
$19.35
PnL
+$1.31
Record
63%
51442-30275 (81717)
Invested
$14.73
Value
—
PnL
-$14.73
Record
58%
50847-36987 (87834)
Invested
$20.26
Value
$20.34
PnL
+$0.08
Record
61%
94214-59259 (153473)
Invested
$8.45
Value
$15.24
PnL
+$6.79
Record
55%
17500-14140 (31640)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $802.4
hoodquant
Down — $510
thesidehustle
Down — $78.08
MayorMamdani
Down — $65.85
asdaefef
Down — $52.7
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $38
dvasdkasodk
Down — $24.21
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $19.35
PBot-6
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $20.34