Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 50%
$1.4K
-$174.03
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $895.99 | $905.04 | +$9.05 | 93% 22826-1744 (24570) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 73Β’ | $503.61 | $440.43 | -$63.18 | 56% 14196-11136 (25332) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $56.1 | $30 | -$26.1 | 54% 10578-9036 (19614) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 64Β’ | $40.76 | β | -$40.76 | 58% 60229-43960 (104189) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 18Β’ | $37.5 | β | -$37.5 | 55% 44344-36830 (81174) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76.9Β’ | $20.36 | $26.46 | +$6.1 | 66% 124908-64287 (189195) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 32.4Β’ | $16.2 | β | -$16.2 | 50% 7716-7729 (15445) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 42Β’ | $8.13 | $18.34 | +$10.21 | 65% 22160-12167 (34327) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 30.4Β’ | $10.2 | β | -$10.2 | 55% 17500-14140 (31640) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 25.3Β’ | $5.45 | β | -$5.45 | 52% 89668-84106 (173774) |
Invested
$895.99
Value
$905.04
PnL
+$9.05
Record
93%
22826-1744 (24570)
Invested
$503.61
Value
$440.43
PnL
-$63.18
Record
56%
14196-11136 (25332)
Invested
$56.1
Value
$30
PnL
-$26.1
Record
54%
10578-9036 (19614)
Invested
$40.76
Value
β
PnL
-$40.76
Record
58%
60229-43960 (104189)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
β
PnL
-$37.5
Record
55%
44344-36830 (81174)
Invested
$20.36
Value
$26.46
PnL
+$6.1
Record
66%
124908-64287 (189195)
Invested
$16.2
Value
β
PnL
-$16.2
Record
50%
7716-7729 (15445)
Invested
$8.13
Value
$18.34
PnL
+$10.21
Record
65%
22160-12167 (34327)
Invested
$10.2
Value
β
PnL
-$10.2
Record
55%
17500-14140 (31640)
Invested
$5.45
Value
β
PnL
-$5.45
Record
52%
89668-84106 (173774)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $905.04
CrouchPredictions
Down β $440.43
thesidehustle
Down β $30
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $26.46
RLWG
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $18.34
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0