Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 94% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 94%
$9.5K
$317.15
Smart Money Signal
15 of 16 top traders (94%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $6.0K | $6.0K | +$6.01 | 59% 62031-43103 (105134) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $2.4K | $2.5K | +$24.73 | 93% 22775-1740 (24515) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 89.7¢ | $349.89 | $390 | +$40.11 | 55% 44266-36741 (81007) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 51.1¢ | $102.25 | $199.99 | +$97.74 | 34% 18574-35577 (54151) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $64.9 | $94.06 | +$29.16 | 55% 49293-39546 (88839) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $38.6 | $76 | +$37.4 | 58% 37465-26708 (64173) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 66.2¢ | $36.15 | $49.58 | +$16.13 | 65% 124444-66560 (191004) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $36.75 | $72.06 | +$35.31 | 58% 12531-9183 (21714) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $40.95 | $30 | -$10.95 | 54% 15215-13117 (28332) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 55.3¢ | $25.01 | $38.36 | +$13.35 | 57% 6591-4880 (11471) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 68.4¢ | $21.49 | $31.39 | +$9.91 | 65% 21975-12079 (34054) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 81.4¢ | $21.28 | $26.15 | +$4.87 | 52% 89581-84030 (173611) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $22.92 | $26.65 | +$3.73 | 63% 51357-30230 (81587) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $17.13 | $23.35 | +$6.22 | 61% 94136-59204 (153340) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 58.6¢ | $11.5 | $19.64 | +$8.14 | 66% 124813-64240 (189053) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 22.9¢ | $4.7 | — | -$4.7 | 55% 17439-14069 (31508) |
Invested
$6,002
Value
$6.0K
PnL
+$6.01
Record
59%
62031-43103 (105134)
Invested
$2,427.27
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$24.73
Record
93%
22775-1740 (24515)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$349.89
Value
$390
PnL
+$40.11
Record
55%
44266-36741 (81007)
Invested
$102.25
Value
$199.99
PnL
+$97.74
Record
34%
18574-35577 (54151)
Invested
$64.9
Value
$94.06
PnL
+$29.16
Record
55%
49293-39546 (88839)
Invested
$38.6
Value
$76
PnL
+$37.4
Record
58%
37465-26708 (64173)
Invested
$36.15
Value
$49.58
PnL
+$16.13
Record
65%
124444-66560 (191004)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$36.75
Value
$72.06
PnL
+$35.31
Record
58%
12531-9183 (21714)
Invested
$40.95
Value
$30
PnL
-$10.95
Record
54%
15215-13117 (28332)
Invested
$25.01
Value
$38.36
PnL
+$13.35
Record
57%
6591-4880 (11471)
Invested
$21.49
Value
$31.39
PnL
+$9.91
Record
65%
21975-12079 (34054)
Invested
$21.28
Value
$26.15
PnL
+$4.87
Record
52%
89581-84030 (173611)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$22.92
Value
$26.65
PnL
+$3.73
Record
63%
51357-30230 (81587)
Invested
$17.13
Value
$23.35
PnL
+$6.22
Record
61%
94136-59204 (153340)
Invested
$11.5
Value
$19.64
PnL
+$8.14
Record
66%
124813-64240 (189053)
Invested
$4.7
Value
—
PnL
-$4.7
Record
55%
17439-14069 (31508)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $6.0K
hoodquant
Down — $2.5K
MayorMamdani
Down — $390
Little-big
Down — $199.99
bosona
Down — $94.06
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $76
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $49.58
wowitsamazing
Down — $72.06
aswfadq1555
Down — $30
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $38.36