Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Up 67%
2 arb excluded
$2.8K
$-1.4K
Smart Money Signal
15 of 22 top traders (68%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 58.2¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | -$23.6 | 57% 10181-7623 (17804) |
RL RLWGARB<$100 | Downavg 38.2¢ | $542.72 | $290.98 | -$251.74 | 50% 7699-7709 (15408) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 38.2¢ | $397.48 | — | -$397.48 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.9¢ | $145.24 | $290.98 | +$145.74 | |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 70.6¢ | $350.9 | $359.45 | +$8.55 | 64% 57632-32371 (90003) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR | Downavg 30.2¢ | $312.57 | — | -$312.57 | 47% 398-457 (855) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Downavg 46.7¢ | $272.04 | — | -$272.04 | 58% 37445-26686 (64131) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 52¢ | $262.82 | $350.24 | +$87.42 | 54% 15206-13113 (28319) |
TH thesidehustleCTR | Downavg 40.8¢ | $241.79 | — | -$241.79 | 54% 10537-8999 (19536) |
AL almach | Upavg 79¢ | $134.36 | $170.18 | +$35.82 | 55% 48033-39638 (87671) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR | Downavg 59¢ | $111.72 | — | -$111.72 | 57% 6585-4873 (11458) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Upavg 90.5¢ | $87.75 | $96.94 | +$9.19 | 73% 95006-35638 (130644) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8ARB<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $98.4 | $80 | -$18.4 | 65% 124408-66548 (190956) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 68¢ | $54.4 | $80 | +$25.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 86¢ | $44 | — | -$44 | |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 59.9¢ | $47.67 | $52.4 | +$4.73 | 66% 124759-64225 (188984) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 28.3¢ | $37.35 | — | -$37.35 | 58% 12529-9180 (21709) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 64.4¢ | $38.28 | $44 | +$5.72 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 62.7¢ | $42.01 | $44.53 | +$2.52 | 61% 94094-59183 (153277) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 66.8¢ | $38.96 | $38.03 | -$0.93 | 52% 89542-84009 (173551) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $36.35 | $25.08 | -$11.27 | 64% 39768-22729 (62497) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $23.83 | — | -$23.83 | 58% 50824-36967 (87791) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 78.8¢ | $20.9 | $26.52 | +$5.62 | 63% 51338-30220 (81558) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 63.6¢ | $19.63 | $15.61 | -$4.02 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
BE beeemw<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $5 | $6.41 | +$1.41 | 77% 285-83 (368) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $5.27 | $9.95 | +$4.67 | 34% 18565-35570 (54135) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 13.5¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 56% 57656-44547 (102203) |
IM Imgonnadoit | Upavg 53¢ | $750 | $0 | -$527.6 | 34% 91-173 (264) |
Invested
$1,176.83
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$23.6
Record
57%
10181-7623 (17804)
Invested
$542.72
Value
$290.98
PnL
-$251.74
Record
50%
7699-7709 (15408)
Both legs:
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$350.9
Value
$359.45
PnL
+$8.55
Record
64%
57632-32371 (90003)
Invested
$312.57
Value
—
PnL
-$312.57
Record
47%
398-457 (855)
Invested
$272.04
Value
—
PnL
-$272.04
Record
58%
37445-26686 (64131)
Invested
$262.82
Value
$350.24
PnL
+$87.42
Record
54%
15206-13113 (28319)
Invested
$241.79
Value
—
PnL
-$241.79
Record
54%
10537-8999 (19536)
Invested
$134.36
Value
$170.18
PnL
+$35.82
Record
55%
48033-39638 (87671)
Invested
$111.72
Value
—
PnL
-$111.72
Record
57%
6585-4873 (11458)
Invested
$87.75
Value
$96.94
PnL
+$9.19
Record
73%
95006-35638 (130644)
Invested
$98.4
Value
$80
PnL
-$18.4
Record
65%
124408-66548 (190956)
Both legs:
Invested
$47.67
Value
$52.4
PnL
+$4.73
Record
66%
124759-64225 (188984)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$37.35
Value
—
PnL
-$37.35
Record
58%
12529-9180 (21709)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$38.28
Value
$44
PnL
+$5.72
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
Invested
$42.01
Value
$44.53
PnL
+$2.52
Record
61%
94094-59183 (153277)
Invested
$38.96
Value
$38.03
PnL
-$0.93
Record
52%
89542-84009 (173551)
ohioism<$100Invested
$36.35
Value
$25.08
PnL
-$11.27
Record
64%
39768-22729 (62497)
Invested
$23.83
Value
—
PnL
-$23.83
Record
58%
50824-36967 (87791)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$20.9
Value
$26.52
PnL
+$5.62
Record
63%
51338-30220 (81558)
Invested
$19.63
Value
$15.61
PnL
-$4.02
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
$5
Value
$6.41
PnL
+$1.41
Record
77%
285-83 (368)
Invested
$5.27
Value
$9.95
PnL
+$4.67
Record
34%
18565-35570 (54135)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
56%
57656-44547 (102203)
Invested
$750
Value
$0
PnL
-$527.6
Record
34%
91-173 (264)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Up — $1.2K
RLWG
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $359.45
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
aswfadq1555
Up — $350.24
thesidehustle
CTRDown — $0
almach
Up — $170.18
peepeepoopoo24
CTRDown — $0
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Up — $96.94