Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Down 65%
$1.8K
-$718.86
Smart Money Signal
11 of 17 top traders (65%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 71.6¢ | $583.31 | $614.67 | +$31.36 | 57% 10169-7617 (17786) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $439.28 | $443.72 | +$4.44 | 93% 22702-1736 (24438) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 67.7¢ | $138.39 | $191.08 | +$52.69 | 54% 15199-13106 (28305) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Upavg 41.1¢ | $750 | — | -$750 | 34% 91-173 (264) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 69.5¢ | $162.19 | $165 | +$2.81 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 66.3¢ | $137.1 | $150 | +$12.9 | 57% 6579-4872 (11451) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819 | Downavg 61.2¢ | $62.73 | $102.58 | +$39.85 | 47% 398-455 (853) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 57.7¢ | $78.88 | — | -$78.88 | 58% 37423-26662 (64085) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 70.9¢ | $47.22 | $59.8 | +$14.13 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.4¢ | $38.47 | — | -$38.47 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 67.8¢ | $29.13 | $32.34 | +$3.21 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $13.81 | $18.44 | +$4.63 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 31.2¢ | $16 | — | -$16 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 97.1¢ | $13.1 | $13.49 | +$0.39 | 63% 51325-30204 (81529) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $6.93 | $11 | +$4.07 | 64% 39757-22720 (62477) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 28.3¢ | $4.25 | — | -$4.25 | 50% 7697-7703 (15400) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
Invested
$583.31
Value
$614.67
PnL
+$31.36
Record
57%
10169-7617 (17786)
Invested
$439.28
Value
$443.72
PnL
+$4.44
Record
93%
22702-1736 (24438)
Invested
$138.39
Value
$191.08
PnL
+$52.69
Record
54%
15199-13106 (28305)
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$750
Record
34%
91-173 (264)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$162.19
Value
$165
PnL
+$2.81
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
Invested
$137.1
Value
$150
PnL
+$12.9
Record
57%
6579-4872 (11451)
Invested
$62.73
Value
$102.58
PnL
+$39.85
Record
47%
398-455 (853)
Invested
$78.88
Value
—
PnL
-$78.88
Record
58%
37423-26662 (64085)
Invested
$47.22
Value
$59.8
PnL
+$14.13
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$38.47
Value
—
PnL
-$38.47
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$29.13
Value
$32.34
PnL
+$3.21
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$13.81
Value
$18.44
PnL
+$4.63
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
Invested
$16
Value
—
PnL
-$16
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.1
Value
$13.49
PnL
+$0.39
Record
63%
51325-30204 (81529)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.93
Value
$11
PnL
+$4.07
Record
64%
39757-22720 (62477)
Invested
$4.25
Value
—
PnL
-$4.25
Record
50%
7697-7703 (15400)
Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
trdyugiolkw
Down — $614.67
hoodquant
Down — $443.72
aswfadq1555
Down — $191.08
Imgonnadoit
CTRUp — $0
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $165
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $150
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
Down — $102.58
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $59.8
MayorMamdani
CTRUp — $0