Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 88%
$5.7K
$264.3
Smart Money Signal
16 of 19 top traders (84%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $2.7K | $2.7K | +$27.58 | 93% 22702-1736 (24438) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$1.49 | 59% 62012-43078 (105090) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 78¢ | $468.24 | $522.12 | +$53.88 | 57% 10169-7617 (17786) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 91.9¢ | $270.52 | $279.57 | +$9.05 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 86.6¢ | $144.51 | $166.85 | +$22.34 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 82¢ | $27.52 | $130 | +$51.9 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 89.6¢ | $78.2 | $87.26 | +$9.07 | 54% 15199-13106 (28305) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 82.6¢ | $42.48 | $48.33 | +$5.85 | 57% 6579-4872 (11451) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $43.78 | $78.18 | +$34.4 | 34% 18548-35564 (54112) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 57.8¢ | $42.75 | $73.95 | +$31.2 | 58% 12525-9169 (21694) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $14.19 | $17.3 | +$3.11 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 85.8¢ | $14.79 | $17.25 | +$2.46 | 63% 51325-30204 (81529) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $9.55 | $13.19 | +$3.64 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $8.5 | $10 | +$1.5 | 50% 7697-7703 (15400) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 79.9¢ | $6.98 | $8.74 | +$1.76 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
TH TheImpasseCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 21% 140-517 (657) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $0.22 | — | -$0.22 | 47% 398-455 (853) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19837-18971 (38808) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 79.1¢ | $28.34 | — | +$7.3 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
Invested
$2,720.72
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$27.58
Record
93%
22702-1736 (24438)
Invested
$1,491.61
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.49
Record
59%
62012-43078 (105090)
Invested
$468.24
Value
$522.12
PnL
+$53.88
Record
57%
10169-7617 (17786)
Invested
$270.52
Value
$279.57
PnL
+$9.05
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$144.51
Value
$166.85
PnL
+$22.34
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$27.52
Value
$130
PnL
+$51.9
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
Invested
$78.2
Value
$87.26
PnL
+$9.07
Record
54%
15199-13106 (28305)
Invested
$42.48
Value
$48.33
PnL
+$5.85
Record
57%
6579-4872 (11451)
Invested
$43.78
Value
$78.18
PnL
+$34.4
Record
34%
18548-35564 (54112)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$42.75
Value
$73.95
PnL
+$31.2
Record
58%
12525-9169 (21694)
Invested
$14.19
Value
$17.3
PnL
+$3.11
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.79
Value
$17.25
PnL
+$2.46
Record
63%
51325-30204 (81529)
Invested
$9.55
Value
$13.19
PnL
+$3.64
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$8.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.5
Record
50%
7697-7703 (15400)
Invested
$6.98
Value
$8.74
PnL
+$1.76
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
21%
140-517 (657)
Invested
$0.22
Value
—
PnL
-$0.22
Record
47%
398-455 (853)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19837-18971 (38808)
Invested
$28.34
Value
—
PnL
+$7.3
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $2.7K
0x50f7
Down — $1.5K
trdyugiolkw
Down — $522.12
thesidehustle
Down — $279.57
MayorMamdani
Down — $166.85
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $130
aswfadq1555
Down — $87.26
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $48.33
Little-big
Down — $78.18
wowitsamazing
Down — $73.95