Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
18
Down 71%
$2.5K
-$49.97
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $914.1 | $923.33 | +$9.23 | 93% 22702-1736 (24438) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 79.2Β’ | $448.03 | $480.08 | +$32.04 | 57% 10169-7617 (17786) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 89.5Β’ | $316.5 | $322.74 | +$6.24 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 89.4Β’ | $239.87 | $210 | -$29.87 | 64% 57632-32369 (90001) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Downavg 89.5Β’ | $180.81 | $202 | +$21.19 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 81.5Β’ | $137.93 | $158.58 | +$20.65 | 54% 15199-13106 (28305) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.9Β’ | $81.2 | β | -$81.2 | 34% 18548-35564 (54112) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 84.7Β’ | $52.71 | $58.07 | +$5.36 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 85.6Β’ | $34.6 | $40.41 | +$5.81 | 61% 94062-59155 (153217) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 87.8Β’ | $33.8 | $36.12 | +$2.32 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 68.5Β’ | $15.4 | $20 | +$4.6 | 57% 6579-4872 (11451) |
TH thismonthCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.1Β’ | $35 | β | -$35 | 34% 577-1128 (1705) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 30Β’ | $6 | β | -$6 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 57Β’ | $5.7 | $10 | +$4.3 | 58% 37423-26662 (64085) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $4.6 | $5 | +$0.4 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.1Β’ | $8.63 | β | -$8.63 | 51% 19837-18971 (38808) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.3Β’ | $1.4 | β | -$1.4 | 55% 17378-14015 (31393) |
CR CrouchPredictions<$100 | Downavg 85.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 14167-11114 (25281) |
Invested
$914.1
Value
$923.33
PnL
+$9.23
Record
93%
22702-1736 (24438)
Invested
$448.03
Value
$480.08
PnL
+$32.04
Record
57%
10169-7617 (17786)
Invested
$316.5
Value
$322.74
PnL
+$6.24
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$239.87
Value
$210
PnL
-$29.87
Record
64%
57632-32369 (90001)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$180.81
Value
$202
PnL
+$21.19
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$137.93
Value
$158.58
PnL
+$20.65
Record
54%
15199-13106 (28305)
Invested
$81.2
Value
β
PnL
-$81.2
Record
34%
18548-35564 (54112)
Invested
$52.71
Value
$58.07
PnL
+$5.36
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$34.6
Value
$40.41
PnL
+$5.81
Record
61%
94062-59155 (153217)
Invested
$33.8
Value
$36.12
PnL
+$2.32
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
Invested
$15.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.6
Record
57%
6579-4872 (11451)
Invested
$35
Value
β
PnL
-$35
Record
34%
577-1128 (1705)
Invested
$6
Value
β
PnL
-$6
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.3
Record
58%
37423-26662 (64085)
Invested
$4.6
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.4
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
Invested
$8.63
Value
β
PnL
-$8.63
Record
51%
19837-18971 (38808)
Invested
$1.4
Value
β
PnL
-$1.4
Record
55%
17378-14015 (31393)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14167-11114 (25281)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $923.33
trdyugiolkw
Down β $480.08
thesidehustle
Down β $322.74

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $210

MayorMamdani
Down β $202
aswfadq1555
Down β $158.58
Little-big
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $58.07
asidjasiodja
Down β $40.41
dvasdkasodk
Down β $36.12