Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 75%
$3.7K
-$32.75
Smart Money Signal
12 of 16 top traders (75%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $2.5K | $2.5K | +$25.23 | 93% 22666-1735 (24401) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $410.92 | $377.73 | -$33.19 | 54% 15195-13099 (28294) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 66.9¢ | $353.41 | $355.69 | +$2.28 | 57% 10156-7610 (17766) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 88.9¢ | $173.28 | $176 | +$2.72 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 47.7¢ | $121.85 | — | -$121.85 | 58% 37406-26644 (64050) |
LI Little-big | Downavg 56.5¢ | $87.67 | $155.18 | +$67.51 | 34% 18536-35559 (54095) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $39.5 | $50 | +$10.5 | 65% 124345-66513 (190858) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $34.9 | $40 | +$5.1 | 57% 6575-4868 (11443) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $19.82 | $25.09 | +$5.27 | 58% 60145-43906 (104051) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 75.1¢ | $13.28 | $17.69 | +$4.41 | 66% 124678-64187 (188865) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $7.04 | $8 | +$0.96 | 65% 21845-12018 (33863) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $5.31 | $10.01 | +$4.7 | 58% 50806-36950 (87756) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $4 | $5.06 | +$1.06 | 61% 94030-59124 (153154) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $5.05 | — | -$5.05 | 55% 44184-36684 (80868) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 51% 19816-18956 (38772) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 52% 89477-83931 (173408) |
Invested
$2,497.7
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$25.23
Record
93%
22666-1735 (24401)
Invested
$410.92
Value
$377.73
PnL
-$33.19
Record
54%
15195-13099 (28294)
Invested
$353.41
Value
$355.69
PnL
+$2.28
Record
57%
10156-7610 (17766)
Invested
$173.28
Value
$176
PnL
+$2.72
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$121.85
Value
—
PnL
-$121.85
Record
58%
37406-26644 (64050)
Invested
$87.67
Value
$155.18
PnL
+$67.51
Record
34%
18536-35559 (54095)
Invested
$39.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$10.5
Record
65%
124345-66513 (190858)
Invested
$34.9
Value
$40
PnL
+$5.1
Record
57%
6575-4868 (11443)
Invested
$19.82
Value
$25.09
PnL
+$5.27
Record
58%
60145-43906 (104051)
Invested
$13.28
Value
$17.69
PnL
+$4.41
Record
66%
124678-64187 (188865)
Invested
$7.04
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.96
Record
65%
21845-12018 (33863)
Invested
$5.31
Value
$10.01
PnL
+$4.7
Record
58%
50806-36950 (87756)
Invested
$4
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$1.06
Record
61%
94030-59124 (153154)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.05
Value
—
PnL
-$5.05
Record
55%
44184-36684 (80868)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
51%
19816-18956 (38772)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
52%
89477-83931 (173408)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $2.5K
aswfadq1555
Down — $377.73
trdyugiolkw
Down — $355.69
thesidehustle
Down — $176
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
Little-big
Down — $155.18
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $50
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $40
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $25.09
asdaefef
Down — $17.69