Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 50%
$3.9K
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
9 of 19 top traders (47%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.1¢ | $2.6K | $2.7K | +$49.81 | 93% 22666-1735 (24401) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Upavg 54.9¢ | $1.0K | — | $-1.0K | 54% 15195-13099 (28294) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 44.3¢ | $543.57 | $666.36 | +$122.79 | 57% 10156-7610 (17766) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 58.6¢ | $316.51 | $291.94 | -$24.56 | 54% 10483-8946 (19429) |
PE peepeepoopoo24CTR | Upavg 50.6¢ | $181.19 | — | -$181.19 | 57% 6575-4868 (11443) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $98.01 | — | -$98.01 | 34% 18536-35559 (54095) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 56.7¢ | $47.47 | — | -$47.47 | 56% 14155-11105 (25260) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 57.6¢ | $40.43 | — | -$40.43 | 52% 89477-83931 (173408) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $38.25 | — | -$38.25 | 58% 12517-9161 (21678) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 71.6¢ | $36.81 | $37.17 | +$0.36 | 66% 124678-64187 (188865) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $34.72 | $68.08 | +$33.36 | 58% 50806-36950 (87756) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 61.3¢ | $30.63 | — | -$30.63 | 61% 94030-59124 (153154) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $26.52 | $68 | +$41.48 | 64% 39741-22699 (62440) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 29.9¢ | $21.86 | $58.36 | +$36.51 | 55% 44184-36684 (80868) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 53.9¢ | $15.11 | $28.02 | +$12.91 | 65% 21845-12018 (33863) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 69.6¢ | $19.55 | — | -$19.55 | 55% 17349-13981 (31330) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $23.2 | $50 | +$26.8 | 65% 124345-66513 (190858) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 31.8¢ | $7.65 | — | -$7.65 | 56% 57617-44504 (102121) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 76.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19816-18956 (38772) |
Invested
$2,603.19
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$49.81
Record
93%
22666-1735 (24401)
Invested
$1,035.3
Value
—
PnL
$-1.0K
Record
54%
15195-13099 (28294)
Invested
$543.57
Value
$666.36
PnL
+$122.79
Record
57%
10156-7610 (17766)
Invested
$316.51
Value
$291.94
PnL
-$24.56
Record
54%
10483-8946 (19429)
Invested
$181.19
Value
—
PnL
-$181.19
Record
57%
6575-4868 (11443)
Invested
$98.01
Value
—
PnL
-$98.01
Record
34%
18536-35559 (54095)
Invested
$47.47
Value
—
PnL
-$47.47
Record
56%
14155-11105 (25260)
Invested
$40.43
Value
—
PnL
-$40.43
Record
52%
89477-83931 (173408)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
—
PnL
-$38.25
Record
58%
12517-9161 (21678)
Invested
$36.81
Value
$37.17
PnL
+$0.36
Record
66%
124678-64187 (188865)
Invested
$34.72
Value
$68.08
PnL
+$33.36
Record
58%
50806-36950 (87756)
Invested
$30.63
Value
—
PnL
-$30.63
Record
61%
94030-59124 (153154)
ohioism<$100Invested
$26.52
Value
$68
PnL
+$41.48
Record
64%
39741-22699 (62440)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$21.86
Value
$58.36
PnL
+$36.51
Record
55%
44184-36684 (80868)
Invested
$15.11
Value
$28.02
PnL
+$12.91
Record
65%
21845-12018 (33863)
Invested
$19.55
Value
—
PnL
-$19.55
Record
55%
17349-13981 (31330)
Invested
$23.2
Value
$50
PnL
+$26.8
Record
65%
124345-66513 (190858)
Invested
$7.65
Value
—
PnL
-$7.65
Record
56%
57617-44504 (102121)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19816-18956 (38772)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $2.7K
aswfadq1555
CTRUp — $0
trdyugiolkw
Down — $666.36
thesidehustle
Down — $291.94
peepeepoopoo24
CTRUp — $0
Little-big
CTRUp — $0
CrouchPredictions
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp — $0
wowitsamazing
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $37.17