Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 72%
1 arb excluded
$4.3K
$491.19
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 92.3¢ | $987.16 | $1.1K | +$65.26 | 66% 98656-51035 (149691) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $643.42 | $736.08 | +$92.66 | 54% 15186-13093 (28279) |
CR CrouchPredictionsARB<$100 | Upavg 69.4¢ | $686.83 | $523.7 | -$163.13 | 56% 14140-11096 (25236) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 69.4¢ | $363.51 | $523.7 | +$160.19 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28.6¢ | $323.32 | — | -$323.32 | |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 62¢ | $588.82 | $673.18 | +$84.36 | 12% 18047-132832 (150879) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $368.28 | $372 | +$3.72 | 93% 22640-1735 (24375) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 68¢ | $278.66 | $303.25 | +$24.59 | 57% 10140-7604 (17744) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 52.8¢ | $135.05 | $256 | +$120.95 | 34% 18536-35559 (54095) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 61.9¢ | $111.6 | $110 | -$1.6 | 57% 6567-4864 (11431) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 52.4¢ | $48.32 | $92.29 | +$43.97 | 51% 19801-18940 (38741) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 54.9¢ | $39.75 | $72.45 | +$32.7 | 58% 12507-9157 (21664) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $22.69 | $46.31 | +$23.62 | 58% 50799-36936 (87735) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $28.2 | $37.1 | +$8.9 | 65% 124308-66488 (190796) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 60.6¢ | $15.75 | $17.27 | +$1.52 | 66% 124638-64161 (188799) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 55.8¢ | $15.95 | $20 | +$4.05 | 55% 17309-13927 (31236) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $3.38 | — | -$3.38 | 63% 51258-30160 (81418) |
TH thismonthCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 34% 577-1125 (1702) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $1.65 | — | -$1.65 | 61% 93995-59086 (153081) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.2¢ | $2.28 | — | -$2.28 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 58% 37384-26627 (64011) |
Invested
$987.16
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$65.26
Record
66%
98656-51035 (149691)
Invested
$643.42
Value
$736.08
PnL
+$92.66
Record
54%
15186-13093 (28279)
Invested
$686.83
Value
$523.7
PnL
-$163.13
Record
56%
14140-11096 (25236)
Both legs:
Invested
$588.82
Value
$673.18
PnL
+$84.36
Record
12%
18047-132832 (150879)
Invested
$368.28
Value
$372
PnL
+$3.72
Record
93%
22640-1735 (24375)
Invested
$278.66
Value
$303.25
PnL
+$24.59
Record
57%
10140-7604 (17744)
Invested
$135.05
Value
$256
PnL
+$120.95
Record
34%
18536-35559 (54095)
Invested
$111.6
Value
$110
PnL
-$1.6
Record
57%
6567-4864 (11431)
Invested
$48.32
Value
$92.29
PnL
+$43.97
Record
51%
19801-18940 (38741)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$39.75
Value
$72.45
PnL
+$32.7
Record
58%
12507-9157 (21664)
Invested
$22.69
Value
$46.31
PnL
+$23.62
Record
58%
50799-36936 (87735)
Invested
$28.2
Value
$37.1
PnL
+$8.9
Record
65%
124308-66488 (190796)
Invested
$15.75
Value
$17.27
PnL
+$1.52
Record
66%
124638-64161 (188799)
Invested
$15.95
Value
$20
PnL
+$4.05
Record
55%
17309-13927 (31236)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.38
Value
—
PnL
-$3.38
Record
63%
51258-30160 (81418)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
34%
577-1125 (1702)
Invested
$1.65
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
61%
93995-59086 (153081)
Invested
$2.28
Value
—
PnL
-$2.28
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
58%
37384-26627 (64011)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Up — $1.1K
aswfadq1555
Up — $736.08
CrouchPredictions
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Hsilverbasher
Up — $673.18
hoodquant
Up — $372
trdyugiolkw
Up — $303.25
Little-big
Up — $256
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $110
devonpoll
Up — $92.29
wowitsamazing
Up — $72.45