Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 78%
1 arb excluded
$4.1K
$72.74
Smart Money Signal
14 of 18 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $1.9K | $2.0K | +$19.52 | 74% 102141-36314 (138455) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 80.4¢ | $966.83 | $1.0K | +$60.39 | 56% 14079-11055 (25134) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 73.5¢ | $286.57 | $345.25 | +$58.68 | 57% 10134-7601 (17735) |
HS HsilverbasherARB<$100 | Downavg 35.1¢ | $161.85 | $107.03 | -$54.82 | 12% 18033-132824 (150857) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 35.1¢ | $92.35 | — | -$92.35 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64.9¢ | $69.5 | $107.03 | +$37.53 | |
AS aswfadq1555CTR | Downavg 22.1¢ | $181.6 | — | -$181.6 | 54% 15181-13088 (28269) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 74.8¢ | $108.07 | $144.47 | +$36.4 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $75.82 | $80 | +$4.18 | 57% 6564-4863 (11427) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $71.41 | $83 | +$11.59 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 67.4¢ | $43.8 | $65 | +$21.2 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.8¢ | $51.8 | — | -$51.8 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $38.3 | $76.6 | +$38.3 | 58% 50799-36936 (87735) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $39.75 | $73.61 | +$33.86 | 58% 12507-9157 (21664) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 76.5¢ | $40.22 | $52.55 | +$12.33 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 91.5¢ | $27.86 | $28.06 | +$1.8 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $13.58 | $16.56 | +$2.98 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $14.64 | $13.71 | -$0.93 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $10.97 | $21.51 | +$10.54 | 58% 60123-43891 (104014) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 25.1¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $1.49 | — | -$1.49 | 63% 51234-30144 (81378) |
BoneOhioInvested
$1,932.13
Value
$2.0K
PnL
+$19.52
Record
74%
102141-36314 (138455)
Invested
$966.83
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$60.39
Record
56%
14079-11055 (25134)
Invested
$286.57
Value
$345.25
PnL
+$58.68
Record
57%
10134-7601 (17735)
Invested
$161.85
Value
$107.03
PnL
-$54.82
Record
12%
18033-132824 (150857)
Both legs:
Invested
$181.6
Value
—
PnL
-$181.6
Record
54%
15181-13088 (28269)
Invested
$108.07
Value
$144.47
PnL
+$36.4
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
$75.82
Value
$80
PnL
+$4.18
Record
57%
6564-4863 (11427)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$71.41
Value
$83
PnL
+$11.59
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
$43.8
Value
$65
PnL
+$21.2
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
$51.8
Value
—
PnL
-$51.8
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
$38.3
Value
$76.6
PnL
+$38.3
Record
58%
50799-36936 (87735)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$39.75
Value
$73.61
PnL
+$33.86
Record
58%
12507-9157 (21664)
Invested
$40.22
Value
$52.55
PnL
+$12.33
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
Invested
$27.86
Value
$28.06
PnL
+$1.8
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$13.58
Value
$16.56
PnL
+$2.98
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$14.64
Value
$13.71
PnL
-$0.93
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
Invested
$10.97
Value
$21.51
PnL
+$10.54
Record
58%
60123-43891 (104014)
Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.49
Value
—
PnL
-$1.49
Record
63%
51234-30144 (81378)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Up — $2.0K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $1.0K
trdyugiolkw
Up — $345.25
Hsilverbasher
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aswfadq1555
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
Up — $144.47
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $80
MayorMamdani
Up — $83
devonpoll
Up — $65
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0