Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 86%
$9.4K
$528.34
Smart Money Signal
19 of 22 top traders (86%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 96.2¢ | $2.3K | $2.3K | +$4.78 | 12% 18018-132811 (150829) |
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $2.0K | $2.1K | +$20.67 | 74% 102137-36314 (138451) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.5¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$33.1 | 93% 22581-1734 (24315) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 94.4¢ | $997.49 | $1.0K | +$9.51 | 66% 98615-51003 (149618) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 78.6¢ | $785.52 | $943.93 | +$158.4 | 56% 14078-11054 (25132) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 79.1¢ | $533.11 | $604.07 | +$70.96 | 57% 10126-7591 (17717) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 69.9¢ | $375.57 | $469.84 | +$94.27 | 54% 15174-13082 (28256) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 75.8¢ | $199.86 | $231.64 | +$31.78 | 54% 10430-8903 (19333) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 88.7¢ | $52.59 | $56 | +$3.42 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $47.51 | $55.36 | +$7.85 | 57% 6559-4860 (11419) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 50.3¢ | $37.5 | $74.51 | +$37.01 | 58% 12503-9152 (21655) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $35.6 | $40 | +$4.4 | 57% 69844-53054 (122898) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88.5¢ | $24.77 | $26 | +$1.23 | 52% 89386-83832 (173218) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 92.8¢ | $26.54 | $28.61 | +$2.07 | 63% 51208-30132 (81340) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 77.5¢ | $18.27 | $23.58 | +$5.31 | 66% 124477-64080 (188557) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90.2¢ | $16.64 | $18.46 | +$1.82 | 61% 93938-59036 (152974) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89.6¢ | $63.89 | $11.61 | +$4.51 | 65% 21685-11906 (33591) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $11.3 | $23.05 | +$11.76 | 58% 37375-26622 (63997) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $10.97 | — | -$10.97 | 58% 60112-43881 (103993) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $5.04 | $8 | +$2.96 | 50% 7660-7681 (15341) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.6¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 65% 124252-66451 (190703) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.6¢ | $4.65 | — | +$34.95 | 51% 19772-18923 (38695) |
Invested
$2,328.65
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$4.78
Record
12%
18018-132811 (150829)
BoneOhioInvested
$2,046.04
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$20.67
Record
74%
102137-36314 (138451)
Invested
$1,301.11
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$33.1
Record
93%
22581-1734 (24315)
Invested
$997.49
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$9.51
Record
66%
98615-51003 (149618)
Invested
$785.52
Value
$943.93
PnL
+$158.4
Record
56%
14078-11054 (25132)
Invested
$533.11
Value
$604.07
PnL
+$70.96
Record
57%
10126-7591 (17717)
Invested
$375.57
Value
$469.84
PnL
+$94.27
Record
54%
15174-13082 (28256)
Invested
$199.86
Value
$231.64
PnL
+$31.78
Record
54%
10430-8903 (19333)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$52.59
Value
$56
PnL
+$3.42
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
$47.51
Value
$55.36
PnL
+$7.85
Record
57%
6559-4860 (11419)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
$74.51
PnL
+$37.01
Record
58%
12503-9152 (21655)
Invested
$35.6
Value
$40
PnL
+$4.4
Record
57%
69844-53054 (122898)
Invested
$24.77
Value
$26
PnL
+$1.23
Record
52%
89386-83832 (173218)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$26.54
Value
$28.61
PnL
+$2.07
Record
63%
51208-30132 (81340)
Invested
$18.27
Value
$23.58
PnL
+$5.31
Record
66%
124477-64080 (188557)
Invested
$16.64
Value
$18.46
PnL
+$1.82
Record
61%
93938-59036 (152974)
Invested
$63.89
Value
$11.61
PnL
+$4.51
Record
65%
21685-11906 (33591)
Invested
$11.3
Value
$23.05
PnL
+$11.76
Record
58%
37375-26622 (63997)
Invested
$10.97
Value
—
PnL
-$10.97
Record
58%
60112-43881 (103993)
Invested
$5.04
Value
$8
PnL
+$2.96
Record
50%
7660-7681 (15341)
Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
65%
124252-66451 (190703)
Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
+$34.95
Record
51%
19772-18923 (38695)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hsilverbasher
Down — $2.3K
BoneOhio
Down — $2.1K
hoodquant
Down — $1.3K
Bonereaper
Down — $1.0K
CrouchPredictions
Down — $943.93
trdyugiolkw
Down — $604.07
aswfadq1555
Down — $469.84
thesidehustle
Down — $231.64
MayorMamdani
Down — $56
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $55.36