Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 75%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.9K

Combined PnL

$640.68

Smart Money Signal

22 of 29 top traders (76%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up22 traders

Total Value$4.9K

Total Shares4,883

Combined PnL+$791.25

Down7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares632

Combined PnL-$150.57

Up — 76%Down — 24%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AS aswfadq1555	Upavg 52.2¢	$813.57	$1.1K	+$262.38	54% 15181-13088 (28269)
TR trdyugiolkw	Upavg 57.5¢	$649.98	$743.59	+$93.61	57% 10134-7601 (17735)
HS Hsilverbasher	Upavg 61.8¢	$486.62	$406.57	-$80.06	12% 18033-132824 (150857)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 59.9¢	$550.65	$918.98	+$368.33	68% 98754-47049 (145803)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 98¢	$466.47	$475.97	+$9.5	93% 22615-1734 (24349)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 50.9¢	$325.19	$359.07	+$33.88	56% 14079-11055 (25134)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Upavg 59.3¢	$348.61	$342.13	-$6.48	57% 6564-4863 (11427)
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Upavg 69.6¢	$595.06	$681.02	+$85.96	57% 69881-53093 (122974)
└ Down leg	Downavg 75.7¢	$121.41	—	-$121.41
└ Up leg	Upavg 69.6¢	$473.65	$681.02	+$207.37
BO BonereaperARB<$100	Upavg 63.8¢	$284.52	$307.99	+$23.47	66% 98635-51024 (149659)
└ Down leg	Downavg 59.8¢	$88.04	—	-$88.04
└ Up leg	Upavg 63.8¢	$196.47	$307.99	+$111.52
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Downavg 39.2¢	$90.67	—	-$90.67	47% 395-448 (843)
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100	Downavg 23.7¢	$22.86	—	-$22.86	73% 95006-35634 (130640)
TM tmsd-testARB<$100	Downavg 48¢	$93.42	$33.35	-$60.07	54% 14357-12173 (26530)
└ Down leg	Downavg 48¢	$77.75	—	-$77.75
└ Up leg	Upavg 47¢	$15.67	$33.35	+$17.69
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 77.2¢	$46.81	$51.14	+$4.33	52% 89418-83862 (173280)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 92.4¢	$77.46	$48.09	-$29.37	66% 124478-64082 (188560)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 89.9¢	$49.22	$47.75	-$1.48	61% 93968-59068 (153036)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 69¢	$38.94	$56.43	+$17.49	62% 43587-26530 (70117)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 61.4¢	$33.86	$55.17	+$21.31	58% 60123-43891 (104014)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 87.3¢	$37.09	$30.8	-$6.29	63% 51234-30144 (81378)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 48.5¢	$39.99	—	-$39.99	58% 37375-26622 (63997)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Downavg 41.3¢	$18.05	—	-$18.05	50% 7672-7689 (15361)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530	Upavg 68¢	$68.27	$100.39	+$32.12	56% 57594-44483 (102077)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 59.3¢	$15.8	—	-$15.8	55% 44030-36522 (80552)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 67.6¢	$39.97	$52.57	+$14.3	65% 124286-66473 (190759)
Atomforge<$100	Upavg 70¢	$9.62	$13.74	+$4.12	65% 3905-2105 (6010)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 38.7¢	$7.1	—	-$7.1	55% 17284-13893 (31177)

aswfadq1555

Invested

$813.57

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$262.38

Record

54%

15181-13088 (28269)

trdyugiolkw

Invested

$649.98

Value

$743.59

PnL

+$93.61

Record

57%

10134-7601 (17735)

Hsilverbasher

Invested

$486.62

Value

$406.57

PnL

-$80.06

Record

12%

18033-132824 (150857)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$550.65

Value

$918.98

PnL

+$368.33

Record

68%

98754-47049 (145803)

hoodquant

Invested

$466.47

Value

$475.97

PnL

+$9.5

Record

93%

22615-1734 (24349)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$325.19

Value

$359.07

PnL

+$33.88

Record

56%

14079-11055 (25134)

peepeepoopoo24

Invested

$348.61

Value

$342.13

PnL

-$6.48

Record

57%

6564-4863 (11427)

uninformedflowwARB<$100

Invested

$595.06

Value

$681.02

PnL

+$85.96

Record

57%

69881-53093 (122974)

Both legs:

Down$121.4175.7¢-$121.41

Up$473.6569.6¢+$207.37

BonereaperARB<$100

Invested

$284.52

Value

$307.99

PnL

+$23.47

Record

66%

98635-51024 (149659)

Both legs:

Down$88.0459.8¢-$88.04

Up$196.4763.8¢+$111.52

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$90.67

Value

—

PnL

-$90.67

Record

47%

395-448 (843)

0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$22.86

Value

—

PnL

-$22.86

Record

73%

95006-35634 (130640)

tmsd-testARB<$100

Down

Invested

$93.42

Value

$33.35

PnL

-$60.07

Record

54%

14357-12173 (26530)

Both legs:

Down$77.7548¢-$77.75

Up$15.6747¢+$17.69

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$46.81

Value

$51.14

PnL

+$4.33

Record

52%

89418-83862 (173280)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$77.46

Value

$48.09

PnL

-$29.37

Record

66%

124478-64082 (188560)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$49.22

Value

$47.75

PnL

-$1.48

Record

61%

93968-59068 (153036)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$38.94

Value

$56.43

PnL

+$17.49

Record

62%

43587-26530 (70117)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$33.86

Value

$55.17

PnL

+$21.31

Record

58%

60123-43891 (104014)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$37.09

Value

$30.8

PnL

-$6.29

Record

63%

51234-30144 (81378)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$39.99

Value

—

PnL

-$39.99

Record

58%

37375-26622 (63997)

RLWGCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$18.05

Value

—

PnL

-$18.05

Record

50%

7672-7689 (15361)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Invested

$68.27

Value

$100.39

PnL

+$32.12

Record

56%

57594-44483 (102077)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$15.8

Value

—

PnL

-$15.8

Record

55%

44030-36522 (80552)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$39.97

Value

$52.57

PnL

+$14.3

Record

65%

124286-66473 (190759)

Atomforge<$100

Invested

$9.62

Value

$13.74

PnL

+$4.12

Record

65%

3905-2105 (6010)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$7.1

Value

—

PnL

-$7.1

Record

55%

17284-13893 (31177)

Smart Money Signal

22 of 29 top traders (76%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x1ee8a38e...d4d978

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1793203200

Traders in this Market

aswfadq1555

Up — $1.1K

+$262.38

trdyugiolkw

Up — $743.59

+$93.61

Hsilverbasher

Up — $406.57

-$80.06

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $918.98

+$368.33

hoodquant

Up — $475.97

+$9.5

CrouchPredictions

Up — $359.07

+$33.88

peepeepoopoo24

Up — $342.13

uninformedfloww

Arbitrage — excluded

Bonereaper

Arbitrage — excluded

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

CTR

Down — $0

-$90.67

Trade on Polymarket