Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 64%
$2.6K
$197.75
Smart Money Signal
12 of 19 top traders (63%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 87.1¢ | $925.96 | $1.0K | +$79.54 | 56% 14079-11055 (25134) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 97.8¢ | $997.22 | $1.0K | +$22.26 | 93% 22615-1734 (24349) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 81.2¢ | $323.77 | $325.74 | +$1.97 | 57% 10134-7601 (17735) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 91.4¢ | $451.95 | $159.2 | +$141.64 | 54% 10444-8916 (19360) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 85.8¢ | $45.3 | $50 | +$4.7 | 57% 6564-4863 (11427) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 94.5¢ | $48.77 | $41.25 | +$2.69 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 7.5¢ | $53.24 | — | -$53.24 | 54% 15181-13088 (28269) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 90.8¢ | $23.71 | $26.1 | +$2.39 | 63% 51234-30144 (81378) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.7¢ | $7.2 | — | -$7.2 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.67 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 98635-51024 (149659) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 64.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 12% 18033-132824 (150857) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 57.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 124286-66473 (190759) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 44030-36522 (80552) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 78.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 60.6¢ | $11.82 | — | +$7.67 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 91.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
TH TheImpasseCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $25 | — | -$2 | 21% 140-516 (656) |
Invested
$925.96
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$79.54
Record
56%
14079-11055 (25134)
Invested
$997.22
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$22.26
Record
93%
22615-1734 (24349)
Invested
$323.77
Value
$325.74
PnL
+$1.97
Record
57%
10134-7601 (17735)
Invested
$451.95
Value
$159.2
PnL
+$141.64
Record
54%
10444-8916 (19360)
Invested
$45.3
Value
$50
PnL
+$4.7
Record
57%
6564-4863 (11427)
Invested
$48.77
Value
$41.25
PnL
+$2.69
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$53.24
Value
—
PnL
-$53.24
Record
54%
15181-13088 (28269)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$23.71
Value
$26.1
PnL
+$2.39
Record
63%
51234-30144 (81378)
Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.67
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
98635-51024 (149659)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
12%
18033-132824 (150857)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
124286-66473 (190759)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
44030-36522 (80552)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$11.82
Value
—
PnL
+$7.67
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
Invested
$25
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
21%
140-516 (656)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $1.0K
hoodquant
Down — $1.0K
trdyugiolkw
Down — $325.74
thesidehustle
Down — $159.2
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $50
aaa221
Down — $41.25
aswfadq1555
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $26.1
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0