Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 67%
$8.9K
-$140.55
Smart Money Signal
12 of 18 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 93.2¢ | $2.2K | $2.3K | +$83.55 | 66% 98507-50941 (149448) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.4¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$35.24 | 93% 22557-1734 (24291) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 82.8¢ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$100.3 | 12% 18002-132802 (150804) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.1K | -$154.97 | 54% 15173-13075 (28248) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $899.88 | $900.78 | +$0.9 | 59% 61967-43004 (104971) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 69.3¢ | $672.42 | $599.57 | -$72.86 | 57% 10121-7584 (17705) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 67.1¢ | $178.6 | $168.07 | -$10.53 | 57% 6553-4857 (11410) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $62.05 | — | -$62.05 | 50% 7654-7675 (15329) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $46 | $50 | +$4 | 65% 124216-66433 (190649) |
DE devonpollCTR | Upavg 38.5¢ | $118.22 | — | -$51.46 | 51% 19760-18914 (38674) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 71.7¢ | $27.68 | $27.15 | -$0.53 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 95.7¢ | $31.07 | $24.35 | -$6.03 | 65% 21630-11888 (33518) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 93.2¢ | $23.58 | $25.3 | +$1.72 | 64% 39712-22672 (62384) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $9.4 | $10 | +$0.6 | 63% 51186-30116 (81302) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.1¢ | $4.65 | — | -$4.65 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111557-57803 (169360) |
Invested
$2,201.78
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$83.55
Record
66%
98507-50941 (149448)
Invested
$2,170.75
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$35.24
Record
93%
22557-1734 (24291)
Invested
$1,387.2
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$100.3
Record
12%
18002-132802 (150804)
Invested
$1,292.14
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$154.97
Record
54%
15173-13075 (28248)
Invested
$899.88
Value
$900.78
PnL
+$0.9
Record
59%
61967-43004 (104971)
Invested
$672.42
Value
$599.57
PnL
-$72.86
Record
57%
10121-7584 (17705)
Invested
$178.6
Value
$168.07
PnL
-$10.53
Record
57%
6553-4857 (11410)
Invested
$62.05
Value
—
PnL
-$62.05
Record
50%
7654-7675 (15329)
Invested
$46
Value
$50
PnL
+$4
Record
65%
124216-66433 (190649)
Invested
$118.22
Value
—
PnL
-$51.46
Record
51%
19760-18914 (38674)
Invested
$27.68
Value
$27.15
PnL
-$0.53
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
Invested
$31.07
Value
$24.35
PnL
-$6.03
Record
65%
21630-11888 (33518)
ohioism<$100Invested
$23.58
Value
$25.3
PnL
+$1.72
Record
64%
39712-22672 (62384)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$9.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.6
Record
63%
51186-30116 (81302)
Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.65
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111557-57803 (169360)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $2.3K
hoodquant
Down — $2.2K
Hsilverbasher
Down — $1.5K
aswfadq1555
Down — $1.1K
0x50f7
Down — $900.78
trdyugiolkw
Down — $599.57
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $168.07
RLWG
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $50
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0