Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 65%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.6K

Combined PnL

-$126.1

Smart Money Signal

Down

13 of 20 top traders (65%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down13 traders

Total Value$2.2K

Total Shares2,174

Combined PnL+$46.9

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares2,525

Combined PnL-$173

Down — 65%Up — 35%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 92.9¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	-$0.1	66% 98507-50941 (149448)
TR trdyugiolkwARB<$100	Downavg 83.8¢	$805.51	$785.15	-$20.36	57% 10121-7584 (17705)
└ Down leg	Downavg 83.8¢	$658.12	$785.15	+$127.03
└ Up leg	Upavg 11.8¢	$147.39	—	-$147.39
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Downavg 69.9¢	$609.27	$650.13	+$40.86	54% 15173-13075 (28248)
└ Down leg	Downavg 69.9¢	$454.56	$650.13	+$195.57
└ Up leg	Upavg 9.6¢	$154.71	—	-$154.71
TH thesidehustle	Downavg 86¢	$416.03	$438.31	+$22.29	54% 10405-8878 (19283)
PE peepeepoopoo24	Downavg 85.7¢	$131.85	$139.99	+$8.14	57% 6553-4857 (11410)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 49.5¢	$98.53	—	-$98.53	58% 50774-36908 (87682)
HS Hsilverbasher	Downavg 83.2¢	$101.5	$110	+$8.5	12% 18002-132802 (150804)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 73.5¢	$78.04	$100	+$21.95	57% 69807-53034 (122841)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$91.49	$91.58	+$0.09	59% 61967-43004 (104971)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 99¢	$81.72	$78	-$3.72	65% 124216-66433 (190649)
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100	Upavg 3.4¢	$65.37	—	-$65.37	54% 14354-12163 (26517)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 88.9¢	$70.81	$38.06	-$7.65	65% 21630-11888 (33518)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 10.3¢	$15.44	—	-$15.44	56% 57568-44448 (102016)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 87.5¢	$20.35	$17.14	-$3.21	61% 93901-59012 (152913)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 73.2¢	$22.55	$20.14	-$2.41	55% 17218-13857 (31075)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 85.6¢	$13.04	$11.27	-$1.77	52% 89352-83806 (173158)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 6.7¢	$20.04	—	+$31.77	51% 19760-18914 (38674)
RL RLWG<$100	Downavg 73¢	$10.95	$15	+$4.05	50% 7654-7675 (15329)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$21.3	—	-$21.3	62% 43576-26505 (70081)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$3.12	—	-$3.12	66% 111557-57803 (169360)
NIULAI4<$100	Downavg 87.8¢	$5.27	$6	+$0.73	77% 9278-2724 (12002)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Upavg 5.6¢	$1	—	-$1	63% 51186-30116 (81302)