Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 65% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Down 65%
2 arb excluded
$2.9K
$303.78
Smart Money Signal
13 of 20 top traders (65%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 64.5¢ | $529.54 | $762.35 | +$232.8 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 68.1¢ | $594.87 | $536.55 | -$58.32 | 57% 10111-7579 (17690) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $566.48 | $572.2 | +$5.72 | 93% 22538-1732 (24270) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $462.55 | $244.68 | -$217.87 | 54% 15165-13072 (28237) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 49.7¢ | $121.56 | $244.68 | +$123.12 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 29¢ | $340.99 | — | -$340.99 | |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 57¢ | $248.76 | $271.44 | +$22.68 | 57% 6551-4852 (11403) |
HS HsilverbasherARB<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $251.97 | $181.3 | -$70.66 | 12% 17985-132788 (150773) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 46.6¢ | $84.42 | $181.3 | +$96.88 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 40¢ | $167.55 | — | -$167.55 | |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819 | Downavg 68¢ | $68 | $100 | +$32 | 47% 389-445 (834) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 38.1¢ | $38.35 | $75 | +$36.65 | 50% 7647-7671 (15318) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 60.7¢ | $35.75 | $46.39 | +$10.64 | 55% 17202-13832 (31034) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 51.5¢ | $37.5 | $72.88 | +$35.38 | 58% 12492-9149 (21641) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 51.7¢ | $23.25 | $26 | +$2.75 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 75.2¢ | $40.28 | $19.79 | +$0.15 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 54.1¢ | $16.68 | — | -$16.68 | 56% 57551-44443 (101994) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $20.08 | — | -$20.08 | 58% 60094-43864 (103958) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $25.05 | — | +$30 | 51% 19757-18903 (38660) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 14.2¢ | $5.35 | — | -$5.35 | 52% 89316-83776 (173092) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 7.3¢ | $4.52 | — | -$4.52 | 62% 43572-26500 (70072) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $7.9 | $10 | +$2.1 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
YO YouSayUpISayDown<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $7.15 | $11 | +$3.85 | 53% 3679-3199 (6878) |
 NIULAI4<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $5.64 | $6 | +$0.36 | 77% 9273-2723 (11996) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $5.28 | — | -$5.28 | 64% 39705-22669 (62374) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 58% 50774-36908 (87682) |
Invested
$529.54
Value
$762.35
PnL
+$232.8
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
Invested
$594.87
Value
$536.55
PnL
-$58.32
Record
57%
10111-7579 (17690)
Invested
$566.48
Value
$572.2
PnL
+$5.72
Record
93%
22538-1732 (24270)
Invested
$462.55
Value
$244.68
PnL
-$217.87
Record
54%
15165-13072 (28237)
Both legs:
Invested
$248.76
Value
$271.44
PnL
+$22.68
Record
57%
6551-4852 (11403)
Invested
$251.97
Value
$181.3
PnL
-$70.66
Record
12%
17985-132788 (150773)
Both legs:
Invested
$68
Value
$100
PnL
+$32
Record
47%
389-445 (834)
Invested
$38.35
Value
$75
PnL
+$36.65
Record
50%
7647-7671 (15318)
Invested
$35.75
Value
$46.39
PnL
+$10.64
Record
55%
17202-13832 (31034)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$37.5
Value
$72.88
PnL
+$35.38
Record
58%
12492-9149 (21641)
Invested
$23.25
Value
$26
PnL
+$2.75
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
Invested
$40.28
Value
$19.79
PnL
+$0.15
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
Invested
$16.68
Value
—
PnL
-$16.68
Record
56%
57551-44443 (101994)
Invested
$20.08
Value
—
PnL
-$20.08
Record
58%
60094-43864 (103958)
Invested
$25.05
Value
—
PnL
+$30
Record
51%
19757-18903 (38660)
Invested
$5.35
Value
—
PnL
-$5.35
Record
52%
89316-83776 (173092)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.52
Value
—
PnL
-$4.52
Record
62%
43572-26500 (70072)
Invested
$7.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.1
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
Invested
$7.15
Value
$11
PnL
+$3.85
Record
53%
3679-3199 (6878)
NIULAI4<$100Invested
$5.64
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.36
Record
77%
9273-2723 (11996)
ohioism<$100Invested
$5.28
Value
—
PnL
-$5.28
Record
64%
39705-22669 (62374)
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
58%
50774-36908 (87682)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down — $762.35
trdyugiolkw
Down — $536.55
hoodquant
Down — $572.2
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $271.44
Hsilverbasher
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819
Down — $100
RLWG
Down — $75
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $46.39
wowitsamazing
Down — $72.88