Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 85%
$2.7K
$5.05
Smart Money Signal
11 of 14 top traders (79%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$13.69 | 93% 22517-1732 (24249) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 80.1Β’ | $879.26 | $883.25 | +$3.98 | 12% 17971-132774 (150745) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 81.3Β’ | $259.87 | $195 | -$64.87 | 57% 10106-7577 (17683) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 69Β’ | $36.9 | $40 | +$3.1 | 57% 6543-4847 (11390) |
![]() wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 51.8Β’ | $38.25 | $73.85 | +$35.6 | 58% 12488-9145 (21633) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 93Β’ | $23.8 | $25.6 | +$1.8 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95Β’ | $21.04 | $22.16 | +$1.12 | 52% 89283-83737 (173020) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $10.75 | β | -$10.75 | 58% 60083-43855 (103938) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 53Β’ | $10.8 | $20.38 | +$9.58 | 55% 17200-13832 (31032) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 68Β’ | $11.15 | $16.4 | +$5.25 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 54.5Β’ | $7.28 | $13.36 | +$6.08 | 50% 7643-7662 (15305) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 68Β’ | $7.1 | $10.44 | +$3.34 | 65% 124007-66294 (190301) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 59Β’ | $2.88 | β | -$2.88 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19747-18896 (38643) |
Invested
$1,355.31
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$13.69
Record
93%
22517-1732 (24249)
Invested
$879.26
Value
$883.25
PnL
+$3.98
Record
12%
17971-132774 (150745)
Invested
$259.87
Value
$195
PnL
-$64.87
Record
57%
10106-7577 (17683)
Invested
$36.9
Value
$40
PnL
+$3.1
Record
57%
6543-4847 (11390)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$38.25
Value
$73.85
PnL
+$35.6
Record
58%
12488-9145 (21633)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$23.8
Value
$25.6
PnL
+$1.8
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
Invested
$21.04
Value
$22.16
PnL
+$1.12
Record
52%
89283-83737 (173020)
Invested
$10.75
Value
β
PnL
-$10.75
Record
58%
60083-43855 (103938)
Invested
$10.8
Value
$20.38
PnL
+$9.58
Record
55%
17200-13832 (31032)
Invested
$11.15
Value
$16.4
PnL
+$5.25
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$7.28
Value
$13.36
PnL
+$6.08
Record
50%
7643-7662 (15305)
Invested
$7.1
Value
$10.44
PnL
+$3.34
Record
65%
124007-66294 (190301)
Invested
$2.88
Value
β
PnL
-$2.88
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19747-18896 (38643)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $1.4K
Hsilverbasher
Down β $883.25
trdyugiolkw
Down β $195
peepeepoopoo24
Down β $40

wowitsamazing
Down β $73.85

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $25.6
dvasdkasodk
Down β $22.16
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $20.38
asidjasiodja
Down β $16.4