Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 72% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Down 76%
$4.0K
$29.41
Smart Money Signal
13 of 18 top traders (72%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $2.1K | $2.1K | +$21.3 | 93% 22517-1732 (24249) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Downavg 79.4¢ | $599.94 | $657.08 | +$57.14 | 57% 10106-7577 (17683) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 87.5¢ | $505.76 | $509 | +$3.24 | 12% 17971-132774 (150745) |
TH thesidehustle | Downavg 76.2¢ | $313.25 | $322.95 | +$9.7 | 54% 10339-8830 (19169) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 74.3¢ | $169.22 | $144 | -$25.22 | 54% 15162-13063 (28225) |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Downavg 70.2¢ | $54.08 | $63 | +$8.92 | 57% 6543-4847 (11390) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 91.3¢ | $44.88 | $49.18 | +$4.3 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.4¢ | $41.15 | — | -$41.15 | 50% 7643-7662 (15305) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.4¢ | $29.04 | — | -$29.04 | 65% 124007-66294 (190301) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 80.2¢ | $19.4 | $24.18 | +$4.78 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $15.53 | $19.66 | +$4.13 | 52% 89283-83737 (173020) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $14.86 | $15.19 | +$0.76 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
BE beeemw<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $15 | $18.52 | +$3.52 | 78% 279-79 (358) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $10.75 | $21.5 | +$10.75 | 62% 43568-26495 (70063) |
TH TheImpasseCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 21% 140-514 (654) |
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $3.8 | $4.94 | +$1.14 | 47% 389-445 (834) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $2.85 | — | -$2.85 | 55% 17200-13832 (31032) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19747-18896 (38643) |
Invested
$2,108.21
Value
$2.1K
PnL
+$21.3
Record
93%
22517-1732 (24249)
Invested
$599.94
Value
$657.08
PnL
+$57.14
Record
57%
10106-7577 (17683)
Invested
$505.76
Value
$509
PnL
+$3.24
Record
12%
17971-132774 (150745)
Invested
$313.25
Value
$322.95
PnL
+$9.7
Record
54%
10339-8830 (19169)
Invested
$169.22
Value
$144
PnL
-$25.22
Record
54%
15162-13063 (28225)
Invested
$54.08
Value
$63
PnL
+$8.92
Record
57%
6543-4847 (11390)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$44.88
Value
$49.18
PnL
+$4.3
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
Invested
$41.15
Value
—
PnL
-$41.15
Record
50%
7643-7662 (15305)
Invested
$29.04
Value
—
PnL
-$29.04
Record
65%
124007-66294 (190301)
Invested
$19.4
Value
$24.18
PnL
+$4.78
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$15.53
Value
$19.66
PnL
+$4.13
Record
52%
89283-83737 (173020)
Invested
$14.86
Value
$15.19
PnL
+$0.76
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$15
Value
$18.52
PnL
+$3.52
Record
78%
279-79 (358)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.75
Value
$21.5
PnL
+$10.75
Record
62%
43568-26495 (70063)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
21%
140-514 (654)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$4.94
PnL
+$1.14
Record
47%
389-445 (834)
Invested
$2.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.85
Record
55%
17200-13832 (31032)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19747-18896 (38643)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $2.1K
trdyugiolkw
Down — $657.08
Hsilverbasher
Down — $509
thesidehustle
Down — $322.95
aswfadq1555
Down — $144
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $63
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $49.18
RLWG
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp — $0
asidjasiodja
Down — $24.18