Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Up 64%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$658.98

Smart Money Signal

10 of 15 top traders (67%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$710.83

Total Shares711

Combined PnL-$7.06

Up10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,005

Combined PnL-$651.92

Down — 33%Up — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TR trdyugiolkw	Downavg 57.3¢	$591.85	$541.26	-$50.59	57% 10106-7577 (17683)
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Upavg 33.1¢	$269.5	$278.56	+$9.06	54% 15162-13063 (28225)
└ Down leg	Downavg 48.2¢	$134.3	$278.56	+$144.27
└ Up leg	Upavg 33.1¢	$135.2	—	-$135.2
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 64.7¢	$360.84	—	-$360.84	57% 69712-52987 (122699)
HS HsilverbasherARB<$100	Upavg 59.6¢	$341.77	$179.53	-$162.24	12% 17971-132774 (150745)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.4¢	$90.55	$179.53	+$88.99
└ Up leg	Upavg 59.6¢	$251.23	—	-$251.23
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100	Upavg 52.2¢	$180.95	$169.57	-$11.38	57% 6543-4847 (11390)
└ Down leg	Downavg 48.4¢	$82.02	$169.57	+$87.54
└ Up leg	Upavg 52.2¢	$98.93	—	-$98.93
TH thesidehustleARB<$100	Upavg 40¢	$114.72	$127.83	+$13.1	54% 10339-8830 (19169)
└ Down leg	Downavg 38.4¢	$49.03	$127.83	+$78.79
└ Up leg	Upavg 40¢	$65.69	—	-$65.69
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$73.01	—	-$73.01	73% 95001-35630 (130631)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819CTR<$100	Upavg 60¢	$65.81	—	-$65.81	47% 389-445 (834)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 81.6¢	$53.11	$52.37	-$0.74	61% 93803-58969 (152772)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 49¢	$36.01	$55	+$21.79	65% 124007-66294 (190301)
RL RLWGCTR<$100	Upavg 49.4¢	$46.88	—	-$46.88	50% 7643-7662 (15305)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Upavg 52.1¢	$39	—	-$39	58% 12488-9145 (21633)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 73.2¢	$54.4	—	-$54.4	55% 17200-13832 (31032)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 58.9¢	$20.19	$23.12	+$2.94	52% 89283-83737 (173020)
PB PBot-6<$100	Downavg 50¢	$19.54	$39.07	+$19.54	58% 50762-36893 (87655)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 19¢	$12.46	—	+$2.17	65% 21538-11836 (33374)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 59¢	$8.54	—	-$8.54	66% 111508-57758 (169266)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 56¢	$5.6	—	-$5.6	64% 39693-22664 (62357)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 76¢	—	—	+$0	51% 19747-18896 (38643)