Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 79% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 79%
4 arb excluded
$2.6K
$203.92
Smart Money Signal
11 of 14 top traders (79%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HS HsilverbasherARB<$100 | Upavg 59.6¢ | $480.38 | $482.56 | +$2.18 | 12% 17971-132774 (150745) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 59.6¢ | $287.41 | $482.56 | +$195.15 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 38.7¢ | $192.97 | — | -$192.97 | |
TR trdyugiolkwARB<$100 | Upavg 65.6¢ | $435.1 | $436.89 | +$1.8 | 57% 10106-7577 (17683) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 65.6¢ | $286.64 | $436.89 | +$150.25 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 26.1¢ | $148.45 | — | -$148.45 | |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $575.13 | $581 | +$5.87 | 93% 22517-1732 (24249) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 65.2¢ | $196.98 | $302.33 | +$105.35 | 57% 69712-52987 (122699) |
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100 | Upavg 62.6¢ | $159.52 | $176.41 | +$16.89 | 54% 15162-13063 (28225) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 62.6¢ | $110.39 | $176.41 | +$66.02 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 28.5¢ | $49.13 | — | -$49.13 | |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144 | Upavg 85.3¢ | $133.95 | $157 | +$23.05 | 73% 95001-35630 (130631) |
TH thesidehustle | Upavg 64.3¢ | $95.46 | $130.17 | +$34.71 | 54% 10339-8830 (19169) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530ARB<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $92.39 | $100.29 | +$7.9 | 56% 57536-44436 (101972) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64¢ | $64.19 | $100.29 | +$36.1 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 47¢ | $28.2 | — | -$28.2 | |
PE peepeepoopoo24<$100 | Upavg 55.7¢ | $65.27 | $61.73 | -$3.55 | 57% 6543-4847 (11390) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $91.8 | $92.01 | +$29.41 | 51% 19747-18896 (38643) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $39.75 | $73.8 | +$34.05 | 58% 12488-9145 (21633) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 38.6¢ | $11.22 | — | -$11.22 | 52% 89283-83737 (173020) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $11.87 | — | -$11.87 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $13.3 | — | -$13.3 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $11.11 | $13.55 | +$2.44 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $4.5 | $10 | +$5.5 | 66% 111508-57758 (169266) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $3.45 | $5 | +$1.55 | 50% 7643-7662 (15305) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $3.15 | $5.08 | +$1.93 | 55% 17200-13832 (31032) |
Invested
$480.38
Value
$482.56
PnL
+$2.18
Record
12%
17971-132774 (150745)
Both legs:
Invested
$435.1
Value
$436.89
PnL
+$1.8
Record
57%
10106-7577 (17683)
Both legs:
Invested
$575.13
Value
$581
PnL
+$5.87
Record
93%
22517-1732 (24249)
Invested
$196.98
Value
$302.33
PnL
+$105.35
Record
57%
69712-52987 (122699)
Invested
$159.52
Value
$176.41
PnL
+$16.89
Record
54%
15162-13063 (28225)
Both legs:
Invested
$133.95
Value
$157
PnL
+$23.05
Record
73%
95001-35630 (130631)
Invested
$95.46
Value
$130.17
PnL
+$34.71
Record
54%
10339-8830 (19169)
Invested
$92.39
Value
$100.29
PnL
+$7.9
Record
56%
57536-44436 (101972)
Both legs:
Invested
$65.27
Value
$61.73
PnL
-$3.55
Record
57%
6543-4847 (11390)
Invested
$91.8
Value
$92.01
PnL
+$29.41
Record
51%
19747-18896 (38643)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$39.75
Value
$73.8
PnL
+$34.05
Record
58%
12488-9145 (21633)
Invested
$11.22
Value
—
PnL
-$11.22
Record
52%
89283-83737 (173020)
Invested
$11.87
Value
—
PnL
-$11.87
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$13.3
Value
—
PnL
-$13.3
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$11.11
Value
$13.55
PnL
+$2.44
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.5
Record
66%
111508-57758 (169266)
Invested
$3.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.55
Record
50%
7643-7662 (15305)
Invested
$3.15
Value
$5.08
PnL
+$1.93
Record
55%
17200-13832 (31032)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hsilverbasher
ARBArbitrage — excluded
trdyugiolkw
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Up — $581
uninformedfloww
Up — $302.33
aswfadq1555
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Up — $157
thesidehustle
Up — $130.17
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
ARBArbitrage — excluded
peepeepoopoo24
Up — $61.73
devonpoll
Up — $92.01