Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 78%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$3.37

Down

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down7 traders

Total Value$1.1K

Total Shares1,089

Combined PnL+$58.2

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares204

Combined PnL-$54.83

Down — 78%Up — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TR trdyugiolkw	Downavg 74.5¢	$459.76	$497.11	+$37.35	57% 10097-7575 (17672)
HS HsilverbasherARB<$100	Upavg 32.2¢	$290.02	$211.13	-$78.89	12% 17952-132766 (150718)
└ Down leg	Downavg 54.4¢	$114.84	$211.13	+$96.29
└ Up leg	Upavg 32.2¢	$175.18	—	-$175.18
TH thesidehustle	Downavg 71.1¢	$222.18	$230	+$7.82	54% 10336-8828 (19164)
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Downavg 48.7¢	$146.68	$150.45	+$3.78	54% 15162-13057 (28219)
└ Down leg	Downavg 48.7¢	$73.34	$150.45	+$77.11
└ Up leg	Upavg 27.1¢	$73.33	—	-$73.33
PE peepeepoopoo24	Downavg 73.5¢	$160.77	$147.85	-$12.91	57% 6540-4847 (11387)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 88.7¢	$77.61	$80.63	+$3.02	61% 93762-58955 (152717)
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100	Upavg 33¢	$50.82	—	-$50.82	54% 14344-12148 (26492)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 84.9¢	$59.22	$64.63	+$5.41	52% 89240-83721 (172961)
RL RLWG<$100	Downavg 69¢	$19.13	$27.72	+$8.59	50% 7634-7654 (15288)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 77¢	$32.12	$41.04	+$8.92	57% 69652-52957 (122609)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$4.01	—	-$4.01	58% 60073-43849 (103922)