Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
21
Up 67%
$5.4K
-$21.72
Smart Money Signal
14 of 21 top traders (67%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 89.9Β’ | $2.9K | $2.6K | -$229.86 | 68% 98724-47025 (145749) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.9Β’ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.95 | 93% 22483-1729 (24212) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 81.1Β’ | $522.16 | $554.57 | +$32.4 | 57% 10093-7573 (17666) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 63.4Β’ | $371.77 | $586.66 | +$214.89 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 61.2Β’ | $171.42 | $197 | +$25.58 | 12% 17934-132761 (150695) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 95.7Β’ | $64.55 | $67.44 | +$2.89 | 55% 43943-36416 (80359) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 91.8Β’ | $65.42 | $66.71 | +$1.29 | 61% 93726-58934 (152660) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 84Β’ | $46.89 | $52.99 | +$6.1 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89.3Β’ | $28.96 | $28.26 | -$0.7 | 66% 124340-64008 (188348) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 83Β’ | $20.82 | $25.08 | +$4.26 | 64% 39676-22644 (62320) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Downavg 36.4Β’ | $20 | β | -$20 | 50% 7625-7648 (15273) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 68Β’ | $15.96 | $23.47 | +$7.51 | 58% 60064-43843 (103907) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 34.3Β’ | $38.93 | β | -$38.93 | 54% 15162-13057 (28219) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.9Β’ | $18.05 | β | -$18.05 | 62% 43555-26484 (70039) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $14.85 | $15 | +$0.15 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 79Β’ | $16.83 | $12.86 | -$3.97 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 71Β’ | $17.83 | $25.11 | +$7.28 | 56% 57515-44418 (101933) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.7Β’ | $16.38 | β | -$16.38 | 54% 14340-12139 (26479) |
![]() AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 35Β’ | $5.33 | β | -$5.33 | 65% 3877-2090 (5967) |
AS asabovesobelow2CTR<$100 | Downavg 35Β’ | $2.75 | β | -$2.75 | 69% 1589-717 (2306) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 111454-57709 (169163) |
Invested
$2,859.77
Value
$2.6K
PnL
-$229.86
Record
68%
98724-47025 (145749)
Invested
$1,084.36
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.95
Record
93%
22483-1729 (24212)
Invested
$522.16
Value
$554.57
PnL
+$32.4
Record
57%
10093-7573 (17666)
Invested
$371.77
Value
$586.66
PnL
+$214.89
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
Invested
$171.42
Value
$197
PnL
+$25.58
Record
12%
17934-132761 (150695)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$64.55
Value
$67.44
PnL
+$2.89
Record
55%
43943-36416 (80359)
Invested
$65.42
Value
$66.71
PnL
+$1.29
Record
61%
93726-58934 (152660)
Invested
$46.89
Value
$52.99
PnL
+$6.1
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
Invested
$28.96
Value
$28.26
PnL
-$0.7
Record
66%
124340-64008 (188348)
ohioism<$100Invested
$20.82
Value
$25.08
PnL
+$4.26
Record
64%
39676-22644 (62320)
Invested
$20
Value
β
PnL
-$20
Record
50%
7625-7648 (15273)
Invested
$15.96
Value
$23.47
PnL
+$7.51
Record
58%
60064-43843 (103907)
Invested
$38.93
Value
β
PnL
-$38.93
Record
54%
15162-13057 (28219)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$18.05
Value
β
PnL
-$18.05
Record
62%
43555-26484 (70039)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.85
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.15
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
Invested
$16.83
Value
$12.86
PnL
-$3.97
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
Invested
$17.83
Value
$25.11
PnL
+$7.28
Record
56%
57515-44418 (101933)
Invested
$16.38
Value
β
PnL
-$16.38
Record
54%
14340-12139 (26479)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$5.33
Value
β
PnL
-$5.33
Record
65%
3877-2090 (5967)
Invested
$2.75
Value
β
PnL
-$2.75
Record
69%
1589-717 (2306)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111454-57709 (169163)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $2.6K
hoodquant
Up β $1.1K
trdyugiolkw
Up β $554.57
uninformedfloww
Up β $586.66
Hsilverbasher
Up β $197

MayorMamdani
Up β $67.44
asidjasiodja
Up β $66.71
dvasdkasodk
Up β $52.99
asdaefef
Up β $28.26

ohioism
Up β $25.08