Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 91%
$5.9K
$456.73
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $1.9K | $1.9K | +$19.59 | 93% 22483-1729 (24212) |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 80.1Β’ | $1.2K | $1.5K | +$289.79 | 12% 17934-132761 (150695) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 98Β’ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$37.23 | 68% 98724-47025 (145749) |
TR trdyugiolkw | Upavg 84.5Β’ | $539.2 | $548.09 | +$8.89 | 57% 10093-7573 (17666) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 79.3Β’ | $580.88 | $732.35 | +$151.47 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 78.9Β’ | $35.93 | $45.53 | +$9.6 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 92.4Β’ | $14.79 | $16 | +$1.21 | 55% 43943-36416 (80359) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 80.5Β’ | $18.55 | $23.04 | +$4.49 | 66% 124340-64008 (188348) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 80.5Β’ | $18.55 | $23.04 | +$4.49 | 61% 93726-58934 (152660) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 80.6Β’ | $18.56 | $23.04 | +$4.48 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 66% 111454-57709 (169163) |
Invested
$1,911.39
Value
$1.9K
PnL
+$19.59
Record
93%
22483-1729 (24212)
Invested
$1,192.21
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$289.79
Record
12%
17934-132761 (150695)
Invested
$1,113.73
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$37.23
Record
68%
98724-47025 (145749)
Invested
$539.2
Value
$548.09
PnL
+$8.89
Record
57%
10093-7573 (17666)
Invested
$580.88
Value
$732.35
PnL
+$151.47
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$35.93
Value
$45.53
PnL
+$9.6
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$14.79
Value
$16
PnL
+$1.21
Record
55%
43943-36416 (80359)
Invested
$18.55
Value
$23.04
PnL
+$4.49
Record
66%
124340-64008 (188348)
Invested
$18.55
Value
$23.04
PnL
+$4.49
Record
61%
93726-58934 (152660)
Invested
$18.56
Value
$23.04
PnL
+$4.48
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111454-57709 (169163)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $1.9K
Hsilverbasher
Up β $1.5K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $1.1K
trdyugiolkw
Up β $548.09
uninformedfloww
Up β $732.35

UpandDownSyndrome
Up β $45.53

MayorMamdani
Up β $16
asdaefef
Up β $23.04
asidjasiodja
Up β $23.04
dvasdkasodk
Up β $23.04